Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffaccb6933e99b90cade62909e03d0e0e1005b4adf62b4ce669cf1dea5a9df3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87f1…21fabacked Over | 0c | 44,707$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 57c | 4,634$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.83 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…cc4bbacked Over | 43c | 4,550$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Over | 43c | 4,039$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.9 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 59c | 1,736$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.37 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e7…a100backed Over | 41c | 910$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…869ebacked Over | 43c | 740$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -38%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 42c | 687.13$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.73 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 40c | 649.57$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.34 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 61c | 445.51$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.95 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 58c | 423.99$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.47 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 57c | 418.17$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.46 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…6815backed Over | 43c | 347$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.21 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.33per pick | 48cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Over | 47c | 264.14$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.38 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 47c | 173$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 61c | 157.5$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 77c | 136.62$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Over | 33c | 111.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…864bbacked Over | 41c | 94.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 47c | 84.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 501 | 55.3%277 W · 224 L | -21.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 58c | 75.74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 42c | 70.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 44c | 63.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 34c | 56.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 44c | 54.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 46c | 48.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 57c | 41.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 37c | 35.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56aa…969abacked Under | 60c | 33.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 47c | 30.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 54c | 24.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 356 | 39.3%140 W · 216 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Over | 44c | 22.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Under | 59c | 19.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: FOX.Y (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (+1.5)HANJIN BRION Challengers won
- LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial GroupHANJIN BRION Challengers won
- LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 WinnerHANJIN BRION Challengers won
- LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 2 WinnerHANJIN BRION Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.