CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Passion UA (BO3) - FRAG Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf724521147d7ee0a544cdfb523fd365dcd57dc8e07cb904de419ac51da948a43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Passion UAof NRG, Passion UA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b90…f361backed NRG | 72c | 5,312$3,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840.56 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Passion UA | 65c | 2,104$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.29 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed NRG | 47c | 1,846$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.5 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Passion UA | 67c | 1,505$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.73 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed NRG | 35c | 1,373$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.5 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Passion UA | 46c | 757.28$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.41 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Passion UA | 48c | 647.53$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.69 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Passion UA | 68c | 630$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed NRG | 57c | 592.17$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.45 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed NRG | 55c | 535.27$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.8 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3a14backed NRG | 59c | 497.23$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.86 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Passion UA | 55c | 486.5$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.93 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed NRG | 38c | 306.17$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.06 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed NRG | 32c | 274.77$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f1…21fabacked NRG | 35c | 274.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Passion UA | 21c | 270$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Passion UA | 20c | 266$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.3 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Passion UA | 20c | 266$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.3 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed NRG | 56c | 228.84$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.52 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Passion UA | 56c | 200.4$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.69 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Passion UA | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Passion UA | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Passion UA | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Passion UA | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Passion UA | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Passion UA | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed NRG | 56c | 192.83$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.14 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Passion UA | 62c | 191.46$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.96 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Passion UA | 17c | 150$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +7.0wins | +0.27per pick | 15cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Passion UA | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 228 | 44.3%101 W · 127 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae0…0dfebacked NRG | 20c | 149.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed NRG | 33c | 145.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Passion UA | 20c | 133$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.15 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Passion UA | 20c | 133$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.15 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Passion UA | 20c | 133$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.15 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Passion UA | 20c | 133$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.15 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3534…a1b3backed NRG | 38c | 130.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Passion UA | 20c | 108$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked Passion UA | 62c | 106.72$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Passion UA | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Passion UA | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed NRG | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 225 | 51.1%115 W · 110 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ca…cab8backed Passion UA | 44c | 99.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed NRG | 29c | 93.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5978…aec4backed Passion UA | 47c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 229 | 38%87 W · 142 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f68…ef58backed NRG | 58c | 83.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed NRG | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Passion UA | 55c | 79.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 230 | 57%131 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Passion UA | 20c | 73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.11 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Passion UA | 17c | 65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed NRG | 46c | 55.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…571ebacked Passion UA | 43c | 51.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked NRG | 53c | 50.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed NRG | 40c | 48.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed NRG | 60c | 46.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10a1…97e6backed Passion UA | 69c | 45.55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…258fbacked Passion UA | 54c | 43.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked NRG | 33c | 41.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…a9e1backed Passion UA | 73c | 35.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x514f…1fa1backed NRG | 45c | 35.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79b4…e49bbacked NRG | 35c | 32.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked NRG | 60c | 32.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 378 | 59.5%225 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…a0d7backed NRG | 53c | 31.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed NRG | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked NRG | 46c | 29.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…be55backed Passion UA | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed Passion UA | 53c | 22.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d2…90d0backed NRG | 54c | 22.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24b…5142backed Passion UA | 72c | 21.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Passion UA | 73c | 19.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 84 | 13.1%11 W · 73 L | -13.9wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Passion UA | 55c | 18.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Passion UA (BO3) - FRAG Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Passion UA - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.