CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Metizport - Map 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce0acee7fbf6c533cc13a869dd33662eb54205304cf7419e49c3254beada29e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metizportof ARCRED, Metizport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed Metizport | 64c | 4,818$3,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.73 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ARCRED | 37c | 3,725$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.18 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Metizport | 41c | 1,135$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.37 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff5…7bd9backed Metizport | 55c | 888.13$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.7 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked ARCRED | 57c | 849.85$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.2 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked ARCRED | 40c | 699.75$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.9 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ARCRED | 54c | 515.31$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.71 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ARCRED | 40c | 440.32$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.89 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked ARCRED | 37c | 388.44$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.34 | 187 | 36.9%69 W · 118 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…6b69backed Metizport | 79c | 374.96$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.74 | 95 | 68.4%65 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked ARCRED | 55c | 324.21$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.62 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ARCRED | 63c | 254.06$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.86 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ARCRED | 51c | 251.73$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.53 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Metizport | 53c | 199.98$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed ARCRED | 58c | 186.8$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.2 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed ARCRED | 58c | 168.28$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked Metizport | 66c | 125.52$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f1…21fabacked ARCRED | 37c | 111.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed ARCRED | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Metizport | 44c | 107.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked Metizport | 56c | 106.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…939ebacked ARCRED | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Metizport | 61c | 86.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Metizport | 51c | 80.59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.63 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…6529backed Metizport | 59c | 79.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd969…b08bbacked ARCRED | 33c | 72.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -10.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c37…2f3cbacked ARCRED | 29c | 66.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Metizport | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b1…812bbacked ARCRED | 35c | 57.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked ARCRED | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed ARCRED | 31c | 53.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…b952backed ARCRED | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed ARCRED | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed ARCRED | 45c | 47.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Metizport | 44c | 45.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Metizport | 55c | 44.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…8c67backed Metizport | 63c | 41.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Metizport | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…68c9backed ARCRED | 45c | 35.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed ARCRED | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Metizport | 39c | 30.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Metizport | 39c | 30.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed ARCRED | 38c | 30.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ba…8faebacked ARCRED | 56c | 24.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Metizport | 48c | 23.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Metizport | 59c | 19.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…4459backed Metizport | 78c | 13.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Metizport - Map 4 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Metizport (BO5) - European Pro League Series 6 PlayoffsMetizport won
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Metizport - Map 1 WinnerARCRED won
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Metizport - Map 2 WinnerMetizport won
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Metizport - Map 3 WinnerMetizport won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.