CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Metizport - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e470dc41f3597f15253e2739f32dc16d4c9ffd8f70253b83b826c08f86043f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metizportof ARCRED, Metizport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc775…6b22backed ARCRED | 7c | 2,284$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed Metizport | 45c | 2,043$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.94 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked ARCRED | 65c | 1,623$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.21 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ARCRED | 50c | 1,018$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.59 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed ARCRED | 55c | 991.29$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.11 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Metizport | 66c | 953.7$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.02 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ARCRED | 2c | 926.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Metizport | 37c | 790.77$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.84 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Metizport | 57c | 697.11$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.43 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ARCRED | 52c | 469.4$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.76 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed ARCRED | 44c | 435.7$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.32 | 128 | 71.9%92 W · 36 L | +16.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ARCRED | 49c | 395.04$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.9 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Metizport | 45c | 302.24$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.83 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ARCRED | 41c | 298.9$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.3 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ARCRED | 16c | 272$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed ARCRED | 14c | 202.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ARCRED | 56c | 202.61$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.22 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Metizport | 53c | 183.39$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.08 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked ARCRED | 52c | 140.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Metizport | 44c | 118.89$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked ARCRED | 45c | 101.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked ARCRED | 37c | 97.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Metizport | 45c | 94.73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked ARCRED | 56c | 60.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Metizport | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…9715backed ARCRED | 39c | 48.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…a39dbacked Metizport | 60c | 48.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ARCRED | 69c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc08e…ebfdbacked Metizport | 44c | 34.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d58…de06backed Metizport | 59c | 33.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Metizport | 48c | 32.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f37…1857backed ARCRED | 61c | 31.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed ARCRED | 42c | 25.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Metizport | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…fd19backed Metizport | 61c | 24.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed ARCRED | 52c | 21.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Metizport - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Metizport (BO5) - European Pro League Series 6 PlayoffsMetizport won
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Metizport - Map 1 WinnerARCRED won
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Metizport - Map 2 WinnerMetizport won
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Metizport - Map 4 WinnerMetizport won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.