TailMyPicks

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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Metizport (BO5) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Metizportof ARCRED, Metizport
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,271
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,397

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,271 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked ARCRED61c13,150$8,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,012.9375652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Metizport45c5,102$2,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,803.263,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked ARCRED57c4,808$2,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,738.415,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked ARCRED62c4,724$2,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,931.7123249.1%114 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Metizport48c2,632$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.796,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64f7…afa6backed Metizport51c2,629$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.079852%51 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4068…aeb1backed Metizport39c2,560$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.892850%14 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked ARCRED61c2,239$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.35052%26 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae8…c9a3backed Metizport42c2,137$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.3757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf642…7353backed Metizport40c2,121$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.481060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Metizport44c2,085$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.0457641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed ARCRED45c1,762$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.374,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Metizport42c1,634$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.8139245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ARCRED39c1,623$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.895,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Metizport58c1,615$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.451,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b52…568ebacked ARCRED61c1,612$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Metizport53c1,534$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.7620946.9%98 W · 111 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…947abacked ARCRED10c1,463$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.69714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Metizport38c1,453$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.2519643.4%85 W · 111 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Metizport38c1,234$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.8246243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked ARCRED57c1,228$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.6584454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Metizport55c1,194$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.0240137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed ARCRED62c1,097$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.720249%99 W · 103 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa34…6628backed Metizport45c1,054$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.723050%15 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed ARCRED1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102150.9%2 W · 213 L-1.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f3c…af16backed Metizport40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04b…3ce0backed Metizport45c780.54$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.184837.5%18 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Metizport48c760.57$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.12,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed Metizport40c719.79$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.5114051.4%72 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Metizport40c700$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42014955%82 W · 67 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed ARCRED21c691.11$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.861758.8%10 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3a7…9638backed Metizport71c654.31$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+81.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0d1…7da4backed ARCRED56c617.19$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x822b…61fdbacked Metizport44c593.59$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.353046.7%14 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed ARCRED47c583.56$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.462,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Metizport36c541.75$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.595,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed ARCRED59c519.55$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.271,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed ARCRED61c502.89$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.764643.5%20 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed Metizport40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72a0…90febacked Metizport43c499.99$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2851100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Metizport38c499.99$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.9976546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdebd…a8ecbacked Metizport16c487.95$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.87250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d8…9ccdbacked Metizport49c486.96$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.584557.8%26 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Metizport40c482$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.229154%157 W · 134 L+17.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed ARCRED54c466.51$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.9284958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Metizport34c450.68$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.012,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Metizport48c432.04$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.013,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x820b…d27abacked Metizport41c411.92$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.4726046.2%120 W · 140 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd991…0133backed ARCRED60c404.78$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.895455.6%30 W · 24 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed ARCRED57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2282437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-32.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9959…c137backed ARCRED29c396.17$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.891323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-53.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Metizport45c389.82$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.44139%16 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1198…3ba5backed Metizport40c388.97$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.031070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc762…15bbbacked Metizport45c386.5$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.572661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked ARCRED40c384.5$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5366446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fc5…d36ebacked ARCRED44c377.6$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.333943.6%17 W · 22 L-5.7wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-27%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe389…9e38backed ARCRED55c351.12$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed Metizport40c348.1$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.2813238.6%51 W · 81 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked ARCRED28c343.43$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1635940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked ARCRED44c340$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.643237.7%163 W · 269 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed ARCRED61c338.07$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.2324942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Metizport46c333.21$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.662080%16 W · 4 L+4.7wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+49.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Metizport45c322.7$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.6547447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed Metizport40c313.3$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.986747.8%32 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Metizport64c311.28$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.177,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked Metizport40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18016355.8%91 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Metizport57c291.53$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.321,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6579…b0a5backed Metizport35c290.75$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.4910529.5%31 W · 74 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e71…f347backed Metizport44c286.05$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.031266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+38%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed ARCRED37c280.67$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3528434.9%99 W · 185 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed ARCRED55c274.32$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.6964854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Metizport44c262$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.7231642.1%133 W · 183 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b95…2e18backed ARCRED68c261.65$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Metizport51c260.99$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.411,04357.3%598 W · 445 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed Metizport38c253.37$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.0938052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…fca1backed ARCRED67c250.02$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Metizport72c250$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7020462.7%128 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6c3…a763backed Metizport71c250$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Metizport76c244.41$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.744,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0a…e440backed ARCRED19c227.98$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.32837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed ARCRED67c207.13$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9431345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Metizport67c206.99$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.81560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33f0…b7aebacked ARCRED75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504060%24 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed ARCRED55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11011651.7%60 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18e8…0f39backed Metizport43c198.97$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b1a…d790backed Metizport43c194.55$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.897946.8%37 W · 42 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31fe…ad2dbacked Metizport43c193.16$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c94…5b86backed Metizport40c192.8$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.686735.8%24 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked ARCRED38c189$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.12,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed ARCRED57c187.68$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.9826650.8%135 W · 131 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29f0…eb05backed Metizport74c187.51$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.581241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-43.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e55…be6fbacked ARCRED40c184.76$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4411636.2%42 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed Metizport44c183.86$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.672934.5%10 W · 19 L-5.8wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-35.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ARCRED50c183.07$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.515,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3013…279bbacked Metizport43c179.68$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.4219935.2%70 W · 129 L-18.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Metizport38c176.88$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.672,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf5…8483backed ARCRED58c168.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4811061.8%68 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaa1…71a1backed Metizport43c166.78$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.062429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4eae…d46dbacked Metizport46c157.76$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.194450%22 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d44…9f3bbacked ARCRED75c156.95$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.25757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.