CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BIG vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbebcde6dae4c563980f916e938a9761f6e57978bab6d0ba2204b8c2139819324
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIGof BIG, SPARTA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd57b…c48fbacked BIG | 69c | 3,658$2,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.97 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked SPARTA | 37c | 3,270$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.46 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked BIG | 63c | 2,633$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.65 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked BIG | 44c | 986.34$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.69 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed SPARTA | 30c | 941.8$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.54 | 836 | 43.5%364 W · 472 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked SPARTA | 43c | 831.28$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.03 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked SPARTA | 40c | 650$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.31 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked SPARTA | 32c | 632.4$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.37 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed BIG | 70c | 487.82$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.02 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed SPARTA | 31c | 421.89$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.45 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked BIG | 45c | 412.73$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.69 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BIG | 31c | 378.88$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.12 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed BIG | 66c | 336.35$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.89 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed SPARTA | 14c | 335.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 601 | 43.1%259 W · 342 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f1…21fabacked SPARTA | 23c | 250.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked SPARTA | 27c | 249.04$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked SPARTA | 29c | 196.54$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed SPARTA | 60c | 183.64$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c38…291fbacked SPARTA | 14c | 181.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked BIG | 54c | 175.09$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.73 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed SPARTA | 28c | 149.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked SPARTA | 28c | 149.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked SPARTA | 28c | 149.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48bf…f7e2backed SPARTA | 32c | 143.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BIG | 58c | 127.31$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.37 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed SPARTA | 36c | 123.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BIG | 69c | 116.6$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed SPARTA | 31c | 110.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed SPARTA | 41c | 110$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked SPARTA | 31c | 97.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed SPARTA | 37c | 90.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked SPARTA | 52c | 84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…3d3bbacked BIG | 68c | 80.79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked SPARTA | 61c | 71.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed SPARTA | 41c | 69.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked SPARTA | 77c | 64.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -32.6wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…f24fbacked BIG | 61c | 64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed SPARTA | 44c | 64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed BIG | 54c | 54.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed SPARTA | 27c | 53.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…d8dbbacked SPARTA | 27c | 52.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…999bbacked BIG | 78c | 50.61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed BIG | 76c | 45.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…1471backed SPARTA | 41c | 30.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked BIG | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked BIG | 45c | 29.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed BIG | 50c | 27.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked SPARTA | 43c | 23.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a6…f22bbacked BIG | 51c | 21.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed SPARTA | 49c | 20.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…ec1ebacked BIG | 63c | 17.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked BIG | 68c | 14.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs SPARTA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsBIG won
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs SPARTA - Map 1 WinnerBIG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs SPARTA (+1.5)BIG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.