CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BIG vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd661af6a0b40cf814c1032fa4d360e33075c65ba002c53d59ea8d5fb4495083
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIGof BIG, SPARTA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2529…548abacked SPARTA | 24c | 2,558$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.45 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked BIG | 75c | 1,212$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.14 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked SPARTA | 25c | 754.48$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.72 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed BIG | 73c | 727.76$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.09 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b1…b066backed BIG | 70c | 701.38$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.38 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked BIG | 41c | 562.29$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.96 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SPARTA | 49c | 561.3$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.46 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked BIG | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…e7f0backed BIG | 63c | 496.97$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked SPARTA | 36c | 471.1$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.69 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked SPARTA | 31c | 440.56$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.83 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked SPARTA | 30c | 428.57$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.57 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed BIG | 70c | 420.86$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.26 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked SPARTA | 35c | 411.86$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.15 | 298 | 39.3%117 W · 181 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SPARTA | 30c | 398.82$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.65 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked SPARTA | 62c | 394.03$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.3 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed BIG | 65c | 391.79$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.57 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed SPARTA | 67c | 381.24$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.43 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked BIG | 62c | 361.82$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.49 | 354 | 49.7%176 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked SPARTA | 38c | 353.36$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.33 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…ba51backed BIG | 64c | 305.75$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.07 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb62e…ae6bbacked BIG | 65c | 301.23$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed BIG | 74c | 224.52$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…9241backed SPARTA | 39c | 216.77$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45da…72febacked SPARTA | 67c | 204.81$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.22 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed BIG | 73c | 173.21$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked SPARTA | 41c | 167.36$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed BIG | 70c | 147.34$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed SPARTA | 36c | 138.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked BIG | 72c | 136.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed SPARTA | 40c | 121.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked SPARTA | 55c | 117.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…3d3bbacked SPARTA | 31c | 107.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed SPARTA | 37c | 102.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed SPARTA | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed SPARTA | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked BIG | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked BIG | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked BIG | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 65cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked SPARTA | 36c | 99.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed BIG | 62c | 97.6$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed BIG | 31c | 95.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed SPARTA | 30c | 94.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…a265backed BIG | 70c | 93.41$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 189 | 43.9%83 W · 106 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked SPARTA | 48c | 92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked BIG | 34c | 88.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed BIG | 57c | 84.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…d8dbbacked SPARTA | 26c | 79.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked BIG | 59c | 79.47$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BIG | 70c | 77.9$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed SPARTA | 32c | 77.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed SPARTA | 35c | 74.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed BIG | 59c | 70.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc3…a4f4backed SPARTA | 32c | 65.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…13ffbacked SPARTA | 22c | 64.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SPARTA | 45c | 61.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked BIG | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d4…3a45backed SPARTA | 33c | 58.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed SPARTA | 33c | 57.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked SPARTA | 36c | 55.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed SPARTA | 20c | 53.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked SPARTA | 32c | 50.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed SPARTA | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed BIG | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed BIG | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf6…c27dbacked SPARTA | 40c | 36.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed BIG | 33c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed SPARTA | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…f24fbacked SPARTA | 45c | 31.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked SPARTA | 48c | 30.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed BIG | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xde58…b901backed BIG | 71c | 26.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed SPARTA | 50c | 21.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…56abbacked BIG | 72c | 21.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…8c3fbacked BIG | 69c | 21.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed BIG | 74c | 18.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs SPARTA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsBIG won
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs SPARTA - Map 2 WinnerBIG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs SPARTA (+1.5)BIG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.