UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Urbina vs. Vlasto Cepo (Middleweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc68443ea655514550f322c8778bdf44488fd536b098efac4e5cb86b42b78a1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gilbert Urbinaof Gilbert Urbina, Vlasto Cepo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $406,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $420,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $406,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Gilbert Urbina | 27c | 305,462$82,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223,041.86 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b20…3ab0backed Vlasto Cepo | 73c | 269,909$197,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197,033.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Vlasto Cepo | 73c | 16,531$12,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,027.23 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Gilbert Urbina | 23c | 13,334$3,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,269.98 | 155 | 37.4%58 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…4633backed Vlasto Cepo | 77c | 12,994$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Vlasto Cepo | 73c | 8,269$6,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,036.28 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…6664backed Vlasto Cepo | 73c | 6,800$4,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,964 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Vlasto Cepo | 70c | 4,838$3,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380.69 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Vlasto Cepo | 12c | 4,808$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Gilbert Urbina | 25c | 3,041$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.72 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Vlasto Cepo | 5c | 3,000$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.81 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Gilbert Urbina | 47c | 2,757$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.71 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Vlasto Cepo | 73c | 2,740$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Gilbert Urbina | 27c | 2,600$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.06 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Gilbert Urbina | 64c | 2,458$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.21 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Vlasto Cepo | 75c | 2,218$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.85 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Vlasto Cepo | 52c | 2,194$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.68 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Vlasto Cepo | 19c | 2,044$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.48 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Gilbert Urbina | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Vlasto Cepo | 74c | 1,804$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.56 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Vlasto Cepo | 74c | 1,650$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Vlasto Cepo | 51c | 1,650$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.52 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Gilbert Urbina | 28c | 1,563$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.7 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Gilbert Urbina | 26c | 1,540$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.59 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Vlasto Cepo | 1c | 1,406$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Vlasto Cepo | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Vlasto Cepo | 74c | 1,300$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.72 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Vlasto Cepo | 74c | 1,293$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.04 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Gilbert Urbina | 25c | 1,249$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.55 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Gilbert Urbina | 26c | 1,180$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.36 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38d…eb9abacked Vlasto Cepo | 38c | 1,067$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Gilbert Urbina | 28c | 1,034$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.81 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Gilbert Urbina | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Gilbert Urbina | 26c | 917.95$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.28 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671d…2e26backed Vlasto Cepo | 33c | 916.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Vlasto Cepo | 69c | 887.82$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.78 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Vlasto Cepo | 73c | 850.71$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.1 | 225 | 48%108 W · 117 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Gilbert Urbina | 26c | 846.6$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.55 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Gilbert Urbina | 61c | 822.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.45 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Gilbert Urbina | 44c | 816$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.77 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…d5d1backed Vlasto Cepo | 66c | 807.53$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.97 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Gilbert Urbina | 34c | 807.53$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.97 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4fa9backed Vlasto Cepo | 75c | 801.63$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfc…b095backed Vlasto Cepo | 74c | 799.65$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.74 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Gilbert Urbina | 25c | 750$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a63…5dcebacked Gilbert Urbina | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240b…be12backed Vlasto Cepo | 73c | 683.08$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Vlasto Cepo | 76c | 605.26$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Vlasto Cepo | 78c | 600$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.7 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Gilbert Urbina | 79c | 587.73$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.03 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf202…4322backed Vlasto Cepo | 73c | 583.84$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.2 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…2e27backed Vlasto Cepo | 74c | 529$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.23 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Vlasto Cepo | 74c | 518.14$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.42 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Gilbert Urbina | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…28c5backed Gilbert Urbina | 25c | 494.48$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.86 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Vlasto Cepo | 73c | 478.9$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Vlasto Cepo | 42c | 463$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.15 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7358…1d32backed Gilbert Urbina | 69c | 443.95$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.91 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Vlasto Cepo | 73c | 443.63$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4f…ad73backed Vlasto Cepo | 73c | 421.99$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.05 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721e…3439backed Vlasto Cepo | 73c | 405.4$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.94 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…77f5backed Vlasto Cepo | 74c | 400$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969e…b834backed Gilbert Urbina | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Gilbert Urbina | 28c | 360.7$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.7 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Vlasto Cepo | 75c | 357.83$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.22 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Vlasto Cepo | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Gilbert Urbina | 27c | 332.15$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.74 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Vlasto Cepo | 74c | 332.07$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.44 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Vlasto Cepo | 73c | 293.01$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.9 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Gilbert Urbina | 27c | 290$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.7 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Vlasto Cepo | 73c | 269.05$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.41 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Vlasto Cepo | 11c | 264.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Vlasto Cepo | 23c | 264$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Vlasto Cepo | 24c | 262$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.72 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa430…c6f9backed Vlasto Cepo | 74c | 257.64$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.65 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…a2bfbacked Vlasto Cepo | 75c | 250.06$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.49 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed Vlasto Cepo | 74c | 249.46$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d5…5678backed Vlasto Cepo | 73c | 239.73$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Vlasto Cepo | 23c | 236$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Vlasto Cepo | 23c | 232$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Vlasto Cepo | 23c | 230$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Vlasto Cepo | 23c | 228$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Vlasto Cepo | 23c | 223.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7201…00a4backed Vlasto Cepo | 74c | 220$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 77cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Gilbert Urbina | 25c | 208.68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.51 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…6eb7backed Vlasto Cepo | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Vlasto Cepo | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…d67bbacked Vlasto Cepo | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…3e75backed Vlasto Cepo | 73c | 205.23$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.82 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Gilbert Urbina | 22c | 205$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.9 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Gilbert Urbina | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Gilbert Urbina | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…f087backed Gilbert Urbina | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Gilbert Urbina | 28c | 183.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.53 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7f…dc59backed Gilbert Urbina | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Gilbert Urbina | 28c | 175$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Gilbert Urbina | 23c | 175$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.25 | 383 | 53.3%204 W · 179 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…e9d9backed Gilbert Urbina | 28c | 172.39$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Gilbert Urbina | 26c | 169.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.39 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Gilbert Urbina | 26c | 169.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.25 | 242 | 56.2%136 W · 106 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Urbina vs. Vlasto Cepo (Middleweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Vlasto Cepo win by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.