UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44729d777b81469d199f57a7c014d36791119e77a369b471175986b563465fc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gregory Rodriguesof Anthony Hernandez, Gregory Rodrigues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,057,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,079,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,057,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 532 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Anthony Hernandez | 67c | 194,425$129,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129,959.17 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Gregory Rodrigues | 34c | 72,801$24,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,833.29 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Anthony Hernandez | 29c | 42,659$12,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,501.71 | 157 | 36.9%58 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Gregory Rodrigues | 34c | 39,988$13,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,391.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Gregory Rodrigues | 39c | 34,057$13,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,889.12 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Gregory Rodrigues | 47c | 30,542$14,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,179.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +117%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Anthony Hernandez | 66c | 30,385$19,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,956.87 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…521abacked Gregory Rodrigues | 33c | 29,142$9,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,524.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Anthony Hernandez | 24c | 26,468$6,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,438.94 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2750…7e6ebacked Anthony Hernandez | 64c | 25,000$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,999.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8002…8b6cbacked Anthony Hernandez | 67c | 20,000$13,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Anthony Hernandez | 66c | 20,000$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,199.87 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…3a12backed Gregory Rodrigues | 78c | 18,927$14,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,092.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Gregory Rodrigues | 33c | 16,494$5,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,050.89 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Gregory Rodrigues | 47c | 15,607$7,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,323.01 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Anthony Hernandez | 11c | 15,280$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.55 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…2658backed Anthony Hernandez | 67c | 15,000$10,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,050 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Anthony Hernandez | 67c | 14,925$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Gregory Rodrigues | 34c | 14,800$5,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,767.99 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Anthony Hernandez | 1c | 14,707$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.07 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Anthony Hernandez | 25c | 14,234$3,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,581.32 | 360 | 48.3%174 W · 186 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Anthony Hernandez | 66c | 13,440$8,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,870.24 | 203 | 48.3%98 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Gregory Rodrigues | 33c | 12,837$4,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,601.42 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Anthony Hernandez | 67c | 11,111$7,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,444.37 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -7.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Gregory Rodrigues | 33c | 10,944$3,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,332.4 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…bdb0backed Gregory Rodrigues | 36c | 9,227$3,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,881.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 40cpaid | +121.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda68…6b7bbacked Gregory Rodrigues | 40c | 8,980$3,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,356.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +147.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Anthony Hernandez | 63c | 8,900$5,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,579.94 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…2095backed Gregory Rodrigues | 39c | 8,400$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,124 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Anthony Hernandez | 66c | 8,000$5,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,280 | 178 | 51.7%92 W · 86 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Gregory Rodrigues | 36c | 8,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,120 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Gregory Rodrigues | 62c | 7,962$4,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050.24 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Gregory Rodrigues | 33c | 7,400$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,958 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Anthony Hernandez | 7c | 7,358$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.63 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -80%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Anthony Hernandez | 24c | 7,160$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.39 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Anthony Hernandez | 34c | 6,889$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.06 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…1cedbacked Anthony Hernandez | 64c | 6,799$4,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,351.15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c3…bea3backed Gregory Rodrigues | 68c | 6,463$4,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…2665backed Gregory Rodrigues | 54c | 6,334$3,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.84 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Gregory Rodrigues | 44c | 6,100$2,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,426 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…89d7backed Gregory Rodrigues | 33c | 6,070$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,066.9 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Anthony Hernandez | 43c | 6,000$2,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,603.7 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Anthony Hernandez | 18c | 5,978$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.77 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Anthony Hernandez | 19c | 5,805$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.67 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed8c…c7b5backed Gregory Rodrigues | 36c | 5,637$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,607.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…9324backed Gregory Rodrigues | 73c | 5,529$4,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.96 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Anthony Hernandez | 18c | 5,190$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.61 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Gregory Rodrigues | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.94 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2829…12a0backed Gregory Rodrigues | 33c | 4,560$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Anthony Hernandez | 43c | 4,486$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.34 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Anthony Hernandez | 26c | 4,479$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.39 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ce…02b2backed Gregory Rodrigues | 34c | 4,412$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,911.76 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Gregory Rodrigues | 36c | 4,369$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,796.16 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Gregory Rodrigues | 60c | 4,344$2,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.3 | 281 | 43.1%121 W · 160 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…f230backed Anthony Hernandez | 12c | 4,312$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Gregory Rodrigues | 40c | 4,183$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,511.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfed2…4671backed Gregory Rodrigues | 36c | 4,167$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.67 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1a…e239backed Gregory Rodrigues | 76c | 3,971$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Gregory Rodrigues | 33c | 3,947$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,644.02 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Anthony Hernandez | 35c | 3,735$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.39 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Gregory Rodrigues | 54c | 3,713$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.63 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Anthony Hernandez | 67c | 3,484$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.11 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Anthony Hernandez | 50c | 3,293$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.75 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Gregory Rodrigues | 36c | 3,281$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.17 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ce…fc99backed Anthony Hernandez | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Gregory Rodrigues | 33c | 3,112$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.11 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Gregory Rodrigues | 33c | 3,075$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Gregory Rodrigues | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd109…6fa0backed Gregory Rodrigues | 62c | 2,733$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Gregory Rodrigues | 35c | 2,579$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.35 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Gregory Rodrigues | 67c | 2,576$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.89 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Anthony Hernandez | 9c | 2,530$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.85 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…e175backed Anthony Hernandez | 48c | 2,529$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.15 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf8…2dc8backed Gregory Rodrigues | 34c | 2,500$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8089…f935backed Anthony Hernandez | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7358…1d32backed Anthony Hernandez | 57c | 2,424$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.6 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Gregory Rodrigues | 41c | 2,413$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.07 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Gregory Rodrigues | 33c | 2,411$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Anthony Hernandez | 20c | 2,359$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Gregory Rodrigues | 45c | 2,324$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.8 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Gregory Rodrigues | 36c | 2,221$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.59 | 178 | 41.6%74 W · 104 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…351dbacked Anthony Hernandez | 68c | 2,183$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.06 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0267backed Anthony Hernandez | 72c | 2,166$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.68 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed Gregory Rodrigues | 72c | 2,056$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.52 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…2e90backed Anthony Hernandez | 67c | 2,018$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.62 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f29…2814backed Anthony Hernandez | 19c | 2,002$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Anthony Hernandez | 67c | 2,001$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.38 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Anthony Hernandez | 30c | 1,974$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.45 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Gregory Rodrigues | 34c | 1,950$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Gregory Rodrigues | 35c | 1,912$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.03 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3ddcbacked Anthony Hernandez | 16c | 1,909$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Anthony Hernandez | 67c | 1,835$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.65 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Gregory Rodrigues | 34c | 1,823$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.28 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Anthony Hernandez | 30c | 1,764$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.82 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Anthony Hernandez | 36c | 1,750$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Anthony Hernandez | 62c | 1,749$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.63 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Gregory Rodrigues | 38c | 1,719$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 34cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Anthony Hernandez | 32c | 1,715$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.76 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe116…6850backed Anthony Hernandez | 1c | 1,714$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Gregory Rodrigues | 36c | 1,700$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 4.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Anthony Hernandez win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Gregory Rodrigues win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.