TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Team Envy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Evil Geniusesof Evil Geniuses, Team Envy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,211
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,366

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,211 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3c3f…75cfbacked Evil Geniuses53c30,806$16,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,578.3113651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Team Envy45c17,569$7,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,941.755358.5%31 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Team Envy48c15,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,199.9628955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Team Envy46c6,188$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,819.5854751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Evil Geniuses55c5,405$2,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,432.251338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Evil Geniuses56c3,564$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.835251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Team Envy48c3,000$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,43716639.2%65 W · 101 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x677f…1228backed Team Envy5c2,982$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.8212745.7%58 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Envy42c2,496$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.591,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed Evil Geniuses24c2,272$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,731.232245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Evil Geniuses54c2,129$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.5139042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked Team Envy46c2,053$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed Evil Geniuses54c1,814$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.1523151.9%120 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Evil Geniuses55c1,667$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.1513741.6%57 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Team Envy48c1,506$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.7711255.4%62 W · 50 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Team Envy48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72016952.1%88 W · 81 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x788e…e086backed Team Envy48c1,493$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.64425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Envy47c1,440$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.661,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b6…d248backed Evil Geniuses57c1,413$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.891450%7 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f90…8ed1backed Team Envy53c1,382$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.94812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.31per pick43cpaid-81.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Team Envy1c1,330$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9701.4%1 W · 69 L0.0wins0.00per pick1cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a90…1dddbacked Team Envy48c1,099$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.21040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9803…0242backed Team Envy1c1,005$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6713158%76 W · 55 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Team Envy48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801947.4%9 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Envy35c998.65$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.661,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Team Envy44c959.49$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.1824846%114 W · 134 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Evil Geniuses54c872.15$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.458934.8%31 W · 58 L-11.5wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Team Envy46c846.96$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.1225660.9%156 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked Evil Geniuses5c807.93$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.5615217.8%27 W · 125 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-42.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Evil Geniuses52c807.85$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.957342.5%31 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Envy55c781.44$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.791,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Evil Geniuses51c727.07$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.4344342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9438…e019backed Team Envy47c711.3$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.313357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Team Envy55c707.11$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.917934.2%27 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Evil Geniuses21c699.8$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.385836.2%21 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Evil Geniuses52c633.56$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.1628747.4%136 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Team Envy43c610$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.836648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d2f…0ddabacked Team Envy45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Team Envy41c570.9$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.6331227.6%86 W · 226 L-33.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-42.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Envy26c538$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.2466438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ec8…6ba2backed Team Envy45c537.6$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.611250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Evil Geniuses13c503.31$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.88633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+94.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Evil Geniuses53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23523447%110 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Team Envy45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2254926.5%13 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Team Envy47c437.21$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.0125556.1%143 W · 112 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Team Envy44c399.99$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17686747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0815…6023backed Team Envy67c390.33$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.58450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe01f…ab4abacked Team Envy41c360$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.6825444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed Evil Geniuses55c352.55$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.653253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Evil Geniuses55c351.99$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.1942840%171 W · 257 L-22.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed Evil Geniuses25c340$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.294535.6%16 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Evil Geniuses54c339.8$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.825349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Envy44c320$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.7460154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed Evil Geniuses51c319.61$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.613026.7%8 W · 22 L-6.6wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-45.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Evil Geniuses54c319.33$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.8917640.3%71 W · 105 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x78d9…359cbacked Evil Geniuses13c300$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2611100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+669.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Team Envy23c293.61$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.775154.9%28 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Team Envy48c275.95$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.462751.9%14 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Team Envy23c262.29$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3845250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked Team Envy48c259$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.3218651.1%95 W · 91 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ac…2a39backed Evil Geniuses59c253.51$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.51450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce18…aff0backed Evil Geniuses17c238.08$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1982454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+46.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Evil Geniuses43c232.51$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.729742.3%41 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed Team Envy67c225$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.7528151.6%145 W · 136 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Evil Geniuses44c219.24$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.061,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Evil Geniuses54c216.81$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.732356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Evil Geniuses52c215.38$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3834857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Evil Geniuses53c210.4$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.954342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Evil Geniuses53c209.96$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.6377929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x05df…e268backed Team Envy49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Team Envy45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909837.8%37 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6aa4…236cbacked Evil Geniuses53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9410951.4%56 W · 53 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0650…865cbacked Evil Geniuses52c193.29$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.78650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Evil Geniuses54c190$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.423847.9%114 W · 124 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Evil Geniuses53c189.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6219337.8%73 W · 120 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x801f…3c62backed Evil Geniuses53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.68875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Evil Geniuses53c187.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.0662856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x565a…3207backed Team Envy44c186.79$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-72.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4720…007bbacked Team Envy65c186.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.3825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-61.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Team Envy55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010225.5%26 W · 76 L-10.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked Evil Geniuses67c181.29$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.74839.6%19 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed Evil Geniuses55c176.69$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5110655.7%59 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Team Envy25c163$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1112750.4%64 W · 63 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Team Envy53c162.9$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4715842.4%67 W · 91 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Evil Geniuses55c159.39$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.555438.9%21 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Team Envy47c152.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.563652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x91c6…e35bbacked Evil Geniuses67c141.57$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcead…afeabacked Team Envy22c134.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45fb…f1f6backed Evil Geniuses78c133.63$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Team Envy34c127.75$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1932261.5%198 W · 124 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2655…eaa4backed Evil Geniuses52c115.98$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.677930.4%24 W · 55 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed Evil Geniuses54c114.96$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8818948.7%92 W · 97 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Team Envy45c108.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.594156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed Team Envy55c108.68$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.777534.7%26 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3adf…9c7bbacked Evil Geniuses53c108.57$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.031573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43dc…e505backed Team Envy55c101.82$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567164.8%46 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Team Envy21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2112243.4%53 W · 69 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Team Envy21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2113035.4%46 W · 84 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Evil Geniuses57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438942.7%38 W · 51 L-13.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-27.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Evil Geniuses20c95.56$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4511841.5%49 W · 69 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.