Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Team Envy - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1f7fbc693d396892e7e6bc269c6ebeb4bddf4067ec14ed47b771d2a4eaaab2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Evil Geniusesof Evil Geniuses, Team Envy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Envy | 1c | 3,659$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2339…adc2backed Team Envy | 54c | 2,000$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Team Envy | 1c | 1,330$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 70 | 1.4%1 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Team Envy | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 1.9%1 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Evil Geniuses | 47c | 634.39$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.83 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Envy | 53c | 454.91$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.99 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f2…1183backed Team Envy | 22c | 228.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…6ba2backed Team Envy | 32c | 213.49$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Team Envy | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Team Envy | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Team Envy | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Evil Geniuses | 35c | 165.71$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.71 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Envy | 43c | 123.66$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9219…027cbacked Team Envy | 49c | 111$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed Evil Geniuses | 10c | 110.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.16 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4579…8f46backed Team Envy | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f48…ba84backed Team Envy | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…5762backed Team Envy | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Evil Geniuses | 64c | 92.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Evil Geniuses | 13c | 86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Evil Geniuses | 50c | 78.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…e505backed Team Envy | 70c | 71.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f68…e91abacked Evil Geniuses | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Team Envy | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Envy | 63c | 48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Envy | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Envy | 65c | 37.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcead…afeabacked Evil Geniuses | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Evil Geniuses | 46c | 33.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked Team Envy | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…e14dbacked Evil Geniuses | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Team Envy - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NV (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)Evil Geniuses won
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Team Envy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1Evil Geniuses won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.