TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Trace Esports vs A Team (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trace Esportsof Trace Esports, A Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,601
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,427

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,601 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked A Team24c30,792$7,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,425.8328143.4%122 W · 159 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe97…361ebacked Trace Esports76c29,344$22,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,056.93161.3%19 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked A Team24c10,214$2,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,451.2715431.2%48 W · 106 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c23…cab3backed Trace Esports76c10,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4007656.6%43 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3456…57ecbacked Trace Esports76c1,565$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.82540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-46%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e9…67ffbacked A Team23c1,100$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.996445.3%29 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfe6…4fadbacked Trace Esports76c999.99$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2405062%31 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0df9…0965backed A Team24c871$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.04683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+48.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2eba…0f3abacked Trace Esports74c849.98$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.3319751.8%102 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed A Team20c684.79$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.3181134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed A Team17c622$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5523732.9%78 W · 159 L-20.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed A Team14c564.38$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5249255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed A Team19c538.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.491,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Trace Esports73c498.05$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.776454.7%35 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed A Team23c495.26$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9133348.3%161 W · 172 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Trace Esports75c399.12$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1234857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked Trace Esports70c370$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.61163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Trace Esports75c300.03$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5527145%122 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f39…2b65backed Trace Esports75c295.61$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.92860.7%17 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1526…d77cbacked Trace Esports76c263.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.244100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+87.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x15fa…f856backed Trace Esports76c263.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.34165.9%27 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Trace Esports76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1616858.9%99 W · 69 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Trace Esports76c251.76$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.411,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed A Team16c249.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1146347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x173e…9ff4backed A Team24c239.97$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.596535.4%23 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-17.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b3c…9f22backed A Team26c217.14$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5712149.6%60 W · 61 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f45…e6a7backed A Team24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503357.6%19 W · 14 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc8d3…c0d1backed A Team22c202.57$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4521859.2%129 W · 89 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked A Team25c199.43$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1613741.6%57 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed A Team24c199.41$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8663447.9%304 W · 330 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf402…4c5abacked Trace Esports77c197.42$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfd1…cd25backed A Team25c184$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465851.7%30 W · 28 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd95d…2ab5backed Trace Esports76c174.32$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.25147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Trace Esports58c171.51$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5123847.9%114 W · 124 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed A Team13c167.51$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.286462.5%40 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Trace Esports76c165$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1713661%83 W · 53 L+14.8wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Trace Esports76c160.99$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4228252.5%148 W · 134 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32e9…39a0backed A Team26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406544.6%29 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed A Team23c147.11$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9993049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e8b…13e6backed Trace Esports74c145.38$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.88540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-44%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed A Team22c138.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.425263.5%33 W · 19 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9eb9…cb5dbacked A Team26c131.67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3415145%68 W · 83 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…4eecbacked A Team31c128.74$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9117642.6%75 W · 101 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked A Team28c123$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.021,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed A Team23c116.62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8216547.9%79 W · 86 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked A Team25c112.41$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.122440.2%90 W · 134 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8ee…3014backed A Team14c105.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Trace Esports78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5614252.8%75 W · 67 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked Trace Esports76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Trace Esports75c97$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.028349.4%41 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Trace Esports75c93.22$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3166650.8%338 W · 328 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Trace Esports78c93$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5957151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked A Team38c91$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3140254.7%220 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d26…f4f8backed A Team18c89.59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1612335.8%44 W · 79 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+1.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed A Team24c85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.214345.5%65 W · 78 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cc5…4bc8backed Trace Esports76c83$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+97.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed A Team23c82.18$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.55937.3%22 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed A Team42c80.29$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7222455.4%124 W · 100 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2338…27f6backed A Team25c79.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013243.2%57 W · 75 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed A Team23c73.79$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9665347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e2b…2372backed Trace Esports77c70.79$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.284254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked A Team19c70$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.242832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Trace Esports75c69.44$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3625453.5%136 W · 118 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x801f…3c62backed Trace Esports77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.94875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked A Team25c60.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1560154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc92…cc39backed A Team19c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked A Team25c57.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3420051.5%103 W · 97 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Trace Esports79c54$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.416639.4%26 W · 40 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed A Team43c50.8$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6834253.2%182 W · 160 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Trace Esports80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacf2…d024backed A Team24c45.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112937.9%11 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed A Team31c45.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0812640.5%51 W · 75 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed A Team25c40.37$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0943843.6%191 W · 247 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01af…7bc2backed A Team25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x615a…8af2backed Trace Esports75c39.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.964953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Trace Esports75c39.23$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7615560.6%94 W · 61 L+14.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x40aa…e51ebacked Trace Esports77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.961566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x65a3…c1e3backed Trace Esports75c37.78$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.446100%6 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Trace Esports76c35.66$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.716959.4%41 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Trace Esports74c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.13545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked Trace Esports76c34.5$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3620553.2%109 W · 96 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ec7…4a76backed Trace Esports76c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.214959.7%89 W · 60 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe93f…f3a4backed Trace Esports79c29.15$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.15580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Trace Esports71c27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7677744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Trace Esports77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.97366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Trace Esports75c24.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0854342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1934…4bf0backed Trace Esports75c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Trace Esports74c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.723834.2%13 W · 25 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Trace Esports72c21.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0134443.3%149 W · 195 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e1…60ebbacked Trace Esports76c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0165…d91bbacked Trace Esports75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Trace Esports77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6734571%245 W · 100 L-1.5wins0.00per pick71cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb445…e4a3backed Trace Esports75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53863.2%24 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de9…3f78backed Trace Esports74c19.82$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.223066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Trace Esports76c17.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.235865.5%38 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Trace Esports73c16.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5532157.6%185 W · 136 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5965…d26dbacked Trace Esports77c16.3$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.751353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Trace Esports75c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba2c…fddabacked Trace Esports75c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaa5…51b6backed Trace Esports76c14.56$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.561650%8 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.