Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: TE (-1.5) vs A Team (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x016ed8c66c6bf7ab373a2bef2b5b22dbfc19c4daf4080dc6575b18af4454f24f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trace Esportsof Trace Esports, A Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e15…7531backed A Team | 51c | 1,777$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.25 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Trace Esports | 49c | 987.63$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.39 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Trace Esports | 44c | 358.88$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.15 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed Trace Esports | 49c | 304$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.09 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…7cc5backed A Team | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…67ffbacked A Team | 50c | 207.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed A Team | 53c | 187.54$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Trace Esports | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86ca…bc47backed Trace Esports | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Trace Esports | 49c | 149.61$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 176 | 40.3%71 W · 105 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Trace Esports | 47c | 146.94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…cd25backed A Team | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a1…7c9dbacked Trace Esports | 47c | 105.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.17 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6add…6992backed Trace Esports | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Trace Esports | 49c | 96.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked A Team | 52c | 74.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…c45dbacked Trace Esports | 49c | 61.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked A Team | 53c | 55.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…55d7backed Trace Esports | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed A Team | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Trace Esports | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Trace Esports | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed A Team | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed A Team | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba2c…fddabacked Trace Esports | 46c | 25.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TE (-1.5) vs A Team (+1.5)this page
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Trace Esports (-3.5) vs A Team (+3.5)A Team won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs A Team (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-InsTrace Esports won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs A Team - Map 1 WinnerTrace Esports won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs A Team - Map 2 WinnerTrace Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.