Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Trace Esports vs A Team - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa80244c7f3be11dd749fa3238e756ccb10c0ff93fa007e634560a16efcf89a59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trace Esportsof Trace Esports, A Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked A Team | 40c | 4,887$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.76 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Trace Esports | 61c | 3,097$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.99 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed A Team | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed A Team | 16c | 481$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.58 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked A Team | 32c | 418$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.38 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Trace Esports | 60c | 410$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.73 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Trace Esports | 60c | 367.41$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.54 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Trace Esports | 61c | 293$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.14 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Trace Esports | 60c | 264.97$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.22 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…76fabacked Trace Esports | 78c | 217.92$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Trace Esports | 60c | 206.33$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.53 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Trace Esports | 56c | 200$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed A Team | 30c | 196.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Trace Esports | 62c | 176.21$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Trace Esports | 60c | 164.17$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Trace Esports | 60c | 148.01$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Trace Esports | 49c | 144.23$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.56 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Trace Esports | 75c | 130$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Trace Esports | 60c | 97.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked A Team | 17c | 81.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Trace Esports | 65c | 80.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Trace Esports | 64c | 78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed A Team | 34c | 76.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Trace Esports | 66c | 57.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Trace Esports | 73c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a78bbacked A Team | 53c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked Trace Esports | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615a…8af2backed Trace Esports | 74c | 47.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Trace Esports | 55c | 36.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Trace Esports | 57c | 35.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21fc…de4abacked A Team | 34c | 34.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…04cebacked Trace Esports | 73c | 34.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Trace Esports | 60c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…340bbacked A Team | 46c | 32.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Trace Esports | 60c | 31.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Trace Esports | 66c | 31.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…9626backed Trace Esports | 60c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Trace Esports | 60c | 26.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 158 | 42.4%67 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Trace Esports | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Trace Esports | 60c | 22.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…e597backed Trace Esports | 70c | 21.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Trace Esports | 69c | 19.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs A Team - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Trace Esports (-3.5) vs A Team (+3.5)A Team won
- Map Handicap: TE (-1.5) vs A Team (+1.5)Trace Esports won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs A Team (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-InsTrace Esports won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs A Team - Map 1 WinnerTrace Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.