UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Shamil Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcc3c8d3e064c978132ab48bb4a5c8ec4a9556709b4082b9461eeb81fe39badd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shamil Gazievof Kennedy Nzechukwu, Shamil Gaziev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Kennedy Nzechukwu | 47c | 29,577$13,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,901.04 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Kennedy Nzechukwu | 46c | 28,531$13,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,194.1 | 200 | 48.5%97 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Shamil Gaziev | 53c | 23,926$12,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,245.24 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Kennedy Nzechukwu | 46c | 20,981$9,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,679.29 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4f…ad73backed Kennedy Nzechukwu | 1c | 13,767$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.67 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Shamil Gaziev | 52c | 12,816$6,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,148.38 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Shamil Gaziev | 54c | 11,181$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,180.99 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Kennedy Nzechukwu | 47c | 11,055$5,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,221.4 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -7.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Shamil Gaziev | 53c | 9,948$5,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,689.79 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Shamil Gaziev | 54c | 9,846$5,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,521.66 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Shamil Gaziev | 53c | 8,932$4,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,195.9 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Shamil Gaziev | 55c | 7,500$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,374.98 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Kennedy Nzechukwu | 46c | 7,420$3,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,413.02 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Shamil Gaziev | 54c | 7,309$3,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,362.14 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Shamil Gaziev | 55c | 5,898$3,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650.18 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Kennedy Nzechukwu | 47c | 5,888$2,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,767.34 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Kennedy Nzechukwu | 45c | 5,000$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.84 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Kennedy Nzechukwu | 45c | 4,760$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.99 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…0386backed Kennedy Nzechukwu | 45c | 4,214$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.07 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Kennedy Nzechukwu | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89a…8667backed Shamil Gaziev | 55c | 3,897$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.54 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Shamil Gaziev | 52c | 3,014$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.93 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Kennedy Nzechukwu | 46c | 3,000$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.97 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Shamil Gaziev | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.96 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Shamil Gaziev | 55c | 2,525$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.16 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Kennedy Nzechukwu | 47c | 2,515$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.25 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…89d7backed Kennedy Nzechukwu | 45c | 2,223$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.35 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Kennedy Nzechukwu | 45c | 2,100$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a92…3c67backed Shamil Gaziev | 53c | 2,075$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.47 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…b821backed Kennedy Nzechukwu | 46c | 2,000$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Shamil Gaziev | 52c | 2,000$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.96 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Kennedy Nzechukwu | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.83 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…d5d1backed Kennedy Nzechukwu | 47c | 1,469$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.69 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd422…7e43backed Shamil Gaziev | 53c | 1,321$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.87 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Shamil Gaziev | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.3 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…d4d5backed Kennedy Nzechukwu | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kennedy Nzechukwu | 44c | 1,119$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.28 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3155…268ebacked Shamil Gaziev | 55c | 1,093$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.87 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf334…bdefbacked Kennedy Nzechukwu | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Shamil Gaziev | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…68e2backed Kennedy Nzechukwu | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Shamil Gaziev | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Shamil Gaziev | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Shamil Gaziev | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Shamil Gaziev | 54c | 925.92$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.92 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Shamil Gaziev | 54c | 925.92$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.92 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Shamil Gaziev | 55c | 907.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.86 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe360…71fabacked Shamil Gaziev | 54c | 907.02$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Shamil Gaziev | 54c | 900$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Shamil Gaziev | 56c | 894.02$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.25 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kennedy Nzechukwu | 45c | 818.57$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.94 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…72c1backed Shamil Gaziev | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb73…1e52backed Shamil Gaziev | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Shamil Gaziev | 54c | 750$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Shamil Gaziev | 54c | 735.84$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.06 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Shamil Gaziev | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc1…4b17backed Shamil Gaziev | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Kennedy Nzechukwu | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…ff5ebacked Shamil Gaziev | 54c | 666.67$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.67 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb925…0f4abacked Kennedy Nzechukwu | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecd…f54ebacked Shamil Gaziev | 55c | 584$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.8 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…0f04backed Shamil Gaziev | 54c | 553.42$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Shamil Gaziev | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…72febacked Kennedy Nzechukwu | 47c | 539.57$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Kennedy Nzechukwu | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1b…65d7backed Shamil Gaziev | 56c | 512.5$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.5 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Shamil Gaziev | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Kennedy Nzechukwu | 47c | 498$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.06 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed Kennedy Nzechukwu | 45c | 489.13$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.11 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Shamil Gaziev | 53c | 460.38$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.38 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d7…1242backed Shamil Gaziev | 54c | 416.09$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Kennedy Nzechukwu | 45c | 414$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.3 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…e183backed Shamil Gaziev | 54c | 403.7$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Shamil Gaziev | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Kennedy Nzechukwu | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed Shamil Gaziev | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1c…7c29backed Shamil Gaziev | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Shamil Gaziev | 53c | 395.96$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.06 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Shamil Gaziev | 53c | 377.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.35 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kennedy Nzechukwu | 48c | 373$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.84 | 356 | 48.6%173 W · 183 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Shamil Gaziev | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…afcebacked Shamil Gaziev | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf202…4322backed Shamil Gaziev | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe650…0944backed Kennedy Nzechukwu | 45c | 350$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x969e…b834backed Shamil Gaziev | 54c | 333.33$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.33 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf809…b391backed Shamil Gaziev | 54c | 329.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…ca89backed Shamil Gaziev | 55c | 325$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b16…1290backed Shamil Gaziev | 56c | 321.43$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.43 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbffa…f32ebacked Kennedy Nzechukwu | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Shamil Gaziev | 54c | 303.19$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.47 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Kennedy Nzechukwu | 45c | 301.45$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.35 | 152 | 38.2%58 W · 94 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Shamil Gaziev | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Kennedy Nzechukwu | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Kennedy Nzechukwu | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Shamil Gaziev | 55c | 299.77$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Shamil Gaziev | 54c | 289.87$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e00…5a84backed Shamil Gaziev | 56c | 270$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +119.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4eb…999abacked Shamil Gaziev | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Shamil Gaziev | 56c | 267.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.85 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…643abacked Shamil Gaziev | 54c | 265$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.9 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Shamil Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Kennedy Nzechukwu win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Shamil Gaziev win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.