MLB · resolved market
First Round Pool C: Chinese Taipei vs. Japan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a31ede2ee3b4ea77f9140630e39c08c15c4ddf2c9438b08dad334ff1fe1af0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Japanof Chinese Taipei, Japan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $684,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $684,290 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd995…2b51backed Chinese Taipei | 4c | 88,232$3,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,384.96 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b41…730ebacked Chinese Taipei | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Chinese Taipei | 11c | 33,333$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.94 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Chinese Taipei | 9c | 26,742$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,351.35 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Chinese Taipei | 9c | 24,589$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.58 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c1…048cbacked Chinese Taipei | 0c | 21,814$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba4…6a8cbacked Chinese Taipei | 1c | 14,000$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.54 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d6…885abacked Chinese Taipei | 1c | 11,871$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa206…ab03backed Chinese Taipei | 9c | 11,630$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…1aa5backed Chinese Taipei | 0c | 10,284$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…50a9backed Chinese Taipei | 9c | 7,072$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Chinese Taipei | 9c | 6,701$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.54 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f1…2ceebacked Chinese Taipei | 10c | 4,832$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Chinese Taipei | 4c | 4,660$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.01 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f5…5cfbbacked Chinese Taipei | 10c | 4,058$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6df…4b4abacked Chinese Taipei | 7c | 3,308$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Chinese Taipei | 9c | 3,255$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.28 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Chinese Taipei | 6c | 3,022$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.09 | 149 | 24.2%36 W · 113 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…b219backed Chinese Taipei | 3c | 3,006$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70bf…ffb4backed Chinese Taipei | 10c | 2,863$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chinese Taipei | 9c | 2,618$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.99 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Chinese Taipei | 11c | 2,530$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.22 | 849 | 49.1%417 W · 432 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…fd01backed Chinese Taipei | 9c | 2,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6714…1e5abacked Chinese Taipei | 6c | 2,328$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…53d8backed Chinese Taipei | 9c | 2,109$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Chinese Taipei | 9c | 2,100$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.44 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…0b08backed Chinese Taipei | 11c | 2,037$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18e…d709backed Chinese Taipei | 9c | 2,000$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…6eafbacked Chinese Taipei | 8c | 1,961$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.56 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Chinese Taipei | 2c | 1,922$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Chinese Taipei | 9c | 1,917$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.42 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +140.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd3…b751backed Chinese Taipei | 7c | 1,900$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d7…0983backed Chinese Taipei | 1c | 1,889$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Chinese Taipei | 8c | 1,808$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.48 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9793…789cbacked Chinese Taipei | 12c | 1,793$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc485…db31backed Chinese Taipei | 11c | 1,732$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Chinese Taipei | 10c | 1,524$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba9f…0d81backed Chinese Taipei | 10c | 1,510$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 43cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Chinese Taipei | 9c | 1,500$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Chinese Taipei | 10c | 1,366$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.01 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +59%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Chinese Taipei | 7c | 1,275$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.21 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…5889backed Chinese Taipei | 9c | 1,200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7729…a60bbacked Chinese Taipei | 9c | 1,156$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Chinese Taipei | 4c | 1,074$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf842…e77dbacked Chinese Taipei | 10c | 1,049$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8990…909ebacked Chinese Taipei | 12c | 1,031$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Chinese Taipei | 10c | 1,001$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Chinese Taipei | 2c | 987.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40de…65d6backed Chinese Taipei | 10c | 962.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8844…26b5backed Chinese Taipei | 11c | 946.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…3478backed Chinese Taipei | 11c | 911.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d39…81f7backed Chinese Taipei | 14c | 877.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8396…543fbacked Chinese Taipei | 10c | 861.7$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…b829backed Chinese Taipei | 12c | 816.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7428…aaf2backed Chinese Taipei | 12c | 800.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0231…f72bbacked Chinese Taipei | 7c | 798.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -68%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1081…1484backed Chinese Taipei | 13c | 770.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a96…c691backed Chinese Taipei | 2c | 769.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Chinese Taipei | 8c | 722.78$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Chinese Taipei | 9c | 667.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…b913backed Chinese Taipei | 8c | 666.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe155…6f55backed Chinese Taipei | 9c | 657.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Chinese Taipei | 9c | 656.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Chinese Taipei | 10c | 626.17$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Chinese Taipei | 7c | 620.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +201%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7f22backed Chinese Taipei | 10c | 596.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Chinese Taipei | 9c | 582.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c3…bbb2backed Chinese Taipei | 9c | 569.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d4…bff4backed Chinese Taipei | 11c | 559.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chinese Taipei | 9c | 549.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Chinese Taipei | 10c | 510.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…09f4backed Chinese Taipei | 10c | 505.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Chinese Taipei | 11c | 501.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…8d4cbacked Chinese Taipei | 9c | 500$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +161.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Chinese Taipei | 9c | 494.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2218…9fc8backed Chinese Taipei | 11c | 482.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6d…a7e9backed Chinese Taipei | 7c | 460$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…df19backed Chinese Taipei | 11c | 457.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b31…a5babacked Chinese Taipei | 10c | 454.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0413…057dbacked Chinese Taipei | 9c | 440$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf106…6710backed Chinese Taipei | 10c | 426.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5afa…df73backed Chinese Taipei | 11c | 415.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chinese Taipei | 9c | 409.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f5…7db6backed Chinese Taipei | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Chinese Taipei | 10c | 400$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Chinese Taipei | 9c | 399.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…3415backed Chinese Taipei | 9c | 388.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x494a…33a9backed Chinese Taipei | 11c | 370$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f86…a893backed Chinese Taipei | 8c | 365.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe304…4b0bbacked Chinese Taipei | 11c | 359.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…e3b4backed Chinese Taipei | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ce…6c4abacked Chinese Taipei | 9c | 345.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Chinese Taipei | 9c | 339.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…c355backed Chinese Taipei | 10c | 330.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…d9e1backed Chinese Taipei | 11c | 329.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2c…3dc9backed Chinese Taipei | 10c | 328.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Chinese Taipei | 10c | 327.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21b…894ebacked Chinese Taipei | 10c | 314.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…8ecfbacked Chinese Taipei | 10c | 306.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7058…1a0abacked Chinese Taipei | 10c | 301.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.