TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$338,415

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $338,415 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes20c93,315$19,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,0002326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No80c45,569$36,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,128.9590843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes19c30,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7003839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c38…08bdbacked Yes18c16,011$2,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,881.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No80c10,612$8,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,163.261,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f7…232cbacked Yes20c10,244$2,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,048.331216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-50.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No79c8,490$6,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,740.7250449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No80c7,343$5,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.992,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes17c4,954$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8505726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes9c4,042$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.681,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Yes20c3,752$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+80.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No79c3,333$2,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.937443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6c8…4aeebacked Yes19c3,313$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Yes20c2,031$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4061631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9707…1861backed Yes18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3806640.9%27 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No80c1,718$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.650149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes11c1,636$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.1713230.3%40 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f8a…cd17backed Yes20c1,491$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes1c1,212$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1822729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No66c1,057$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.2315150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes4c1,053$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.267132.4%23 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes32c1,032$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.3183939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ac…7409backed Yes20c1,018$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64ba…b7bfbacked Yes19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6210…4016backed Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007630.3%23 W · 53 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes4c998.46$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386319%12 W · 51 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes20c987.94$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.9233734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Yes21c952.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004040%16 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc06e…5796backed Yes19c905.96$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.04560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+62.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa308…94b9backed Yes14c794.13$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick17cpaid+307.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No80c718.3$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.3369142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes20c700$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.3479133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb31…3bf2backed Yes16c599.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked No80c587.5$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.53557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes15c548.14$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.924141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes20c519.5$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.164046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa69a…3360backed Yes20c502.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100238.7%2 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5440…c640backed No80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick65cpaid-44%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10542851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017326.6%46 W · 127 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c39…ca9dbacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006643.9%29 W · 37 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Yes19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.941844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes19c499.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9589050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c492.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.84575.3%3 W · 54 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-85.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5b8…e420backed No80c450$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes18c443.97$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.027936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes19c418.03$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.431,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked No68c414.76$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.7211336.3%41 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+450.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1448…b30bbacked Yes15c413.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Yes20c400.75$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808728.7%25 W · 62 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No80c400$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8012954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No80c400$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8010268.6%70 W · 32 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa330…9d33backed Yes19c368.68$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No80c366$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.220449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Yes7c358.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7726641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7a5…8ad9backed Yes5c357.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.59333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick13cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f65…4875backed Yes20c340$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes12c335.14$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.891,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ae…f407backed Yes20c328.35$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.671822.2%4 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608525.9%22 W · 63 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-28%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed Yes20c300$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.59633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes5c293.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.148045%36 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes20c287.5$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+71.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eeb…81fabacked Yes19c281.07$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x65d2…8320backed Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011264.3%72 W · 40 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2eef…426dbacked Yes19c269.32$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5d5…ec15backed No80c260.05$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3001…4ac2backed Yes21c241.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecad…875cbacked Yes19c240$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.61618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012727.6%35 W · 92 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e28…cf34backed Yes14c211.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.54933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Yes19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8df9…3f14backed Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-63.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b3…c085backed Yes8c194.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ba3…317ebacked Yes7c190.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3435…a117backed Yes20c184.89$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.887623.7%18 W · 58 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No79c180$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.834252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Yes33c179$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.691546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes20c175$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354822.9%11 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24e1…9c5fbacked Yes20c175$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac2…4e63backed Yes11c161.76$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf64c…e897backed Yes11c161.76$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+124.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x075a…278ebacked Yes19c160$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.42937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes19c158.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306526.2%17 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe68d…a292backed Yes19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0f2…b21cbacked Yes19c150.68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.63728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes18c150$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3515444.8%69 W · 85 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Yes20c141.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.168550.6%43 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4739…a1c1backed Yes19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick37cpaid+18.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x279a…ffc2backed Yes20c125.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510152.5%53 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x395d…3cc9backed No80c125.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…cefdbacked Yes19c125$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.751233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd203…dd06backed Yes19c117.17$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4052…0014backed Yes20c116.25$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.25944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.