TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$256,801

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,801 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes22c67,631$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0002326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No78c49,665$38,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,805.8690843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes22c25,441$5,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,592.683839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No78c20,193$15,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,517.681,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes23c13,147$3,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,014.234,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed No76c10,233$7,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,471.021533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x72b1…4f69backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+147.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No78c8,652$6,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,903.4450449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No78c7,032$5,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.932,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No78c7,000$5,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5405757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc4…803dbacked Yes22c6,541$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,43940%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No78c6,235$4,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.72958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x702b…dedebacked Yes22c5,841$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+37.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No78c4,231$3,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.4192254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No78c3,710$2,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.4711839%46 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4219…7855backed Yes22c3,091$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No78c3,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe427…c02bbacked Yes22c2,996$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65930%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd068…18f9backed No64c2,474$1,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.64100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes22c2,356$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.4964046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b9b…b900backed No78c2,163$1,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.84650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes22c1,956$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.3220449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Yes37c1,953$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.011631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36c8…2925backed No78c1,911$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.021369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick71cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No78c1,815$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.3783650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76bc…db0abacked Yes22c1,736$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38240%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No78c1,600$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3523053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes23c1,496$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.2914647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes24c1,351$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.541,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9d…821fbacked Yes21c1,200$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.651546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes15c1,053$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.347132.4%23 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf2…c73bbacked Yes22c1,023$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3497…812bbacked Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed No78c974.36$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.363043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x540a…41aebacked Yes18c925.89$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed No70c902.99$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.933339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes22c830.5$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.65650%28 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No78c800$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17622552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fa…a497backed Yes17c727$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+42.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4e5…f012backed Yes22c681.82$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe02d…22febacked Yes3c666.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No78c569.85$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.5942851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda2e…8904backed Yes22c568.18$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes18c565.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.336319%12 W · 51 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Yes38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x494e…7c51backed Yes2c515.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No78c478$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.23345.5%15 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005831%18 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes22c450$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993016.7%5 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-52.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f0b…1c21backed Yes22c445.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3d…49c4backed Yes23c436.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No78c415.37$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3820642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aba…00d8backed Yes22c410.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.425151%26 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd360…7f38backed Yes22c395.45$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc88c…14f1backed Yes22c395.45$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes13c390.61$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8113230.3%40 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3798…c20ebacked No78c383.68$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.463040%12 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes15c380.31$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.163148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a2f…c5d0backed No79c380.11$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.111090%9 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick72cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca66…2305backed Yes27c370.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No76c345.19$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.977339.7%29 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes22c325.89$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.541,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae0…8f73backed Yes14c323.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bfc…fd26backed No77c302.64$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.561540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-36.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No78c300.07$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0223947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6627652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6619750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6631751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501947.4%9 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick31cpaid+49.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No78c271.47$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.721,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72ab…30fcbacked Yes17c271.25$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No74c266.04$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9949057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No78c250$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5521849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe81e…3640backed Yes18c229.6$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.332634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.5wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8ca5…140dbacked Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No78c219.51$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2989050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e28…cf34backed Yes19c211.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.65933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a1c…970abacked Yes17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-42%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Yes25c199.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.561118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7587…3afebacked Yes11c194$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes22c184.09$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.393330.3%10 W · 23 L-5.5wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-52.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No78c180$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.614950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes22c159.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c47…e9bebacked No76c143.61$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.043100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88b3…c085backed Yes28c142.27$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes14c133.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6835145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No78c120$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.421051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No78c120$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.421546%99 W · 116 L-14.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No78c120$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.419951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No78c120$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.429053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked No78c120$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.419053.7%102 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No78c118.63$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.120949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Yes22c118.54$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.082152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b18…0390backed No74c116.66$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.882236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-45.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x63aa…8b6fbacked Yes20c115.89$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67d6…245ebacked Yes12c115$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No74c112$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.688672.1%62 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204822.9%11 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.