MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e2307986ef7b3d6008662e2c8a2e45ebfa27832f373b2691c447a4b6f735ab8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof New York Mets, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 34,417$16,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,129.92 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebf…3b02backed New York Mets | 59c | 24,637$14,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,101.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked New York Mets | 54c | 23,558$12,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,753.85 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 12,768$4,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,310.17 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 12,193$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.09 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked New York Mets | 56c | 11,068$6,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,859.52 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed New York Mets | 52c | 10,157$5,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,875.58 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa115…6c5abacked New York Mets | 58c | 9,853$5,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,124.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 5,403$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.94 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 5,155$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.55 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 4,911$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.35 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 4,300$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.58 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed New York Mets | 58c | 3,947$2,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.71 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 2,939$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.97 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed New York Mets | 59c | 2,733$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.4 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 14c | 2,500$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.59 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed New York Mets | 58c | 2,345$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.7 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 19c | 2,320$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.63 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 6c | 1,995$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.78 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 1,560$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.6 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 1,300$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.99 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 1,160$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.43 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 974.57$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.28 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed New York Mets | 63c | 796.36$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.98 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 777.47$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.54 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed New York Mets | 57c | 750$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.5 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked New York Mets | 58c | 747.53$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.96 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 703.85$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.62 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 663.93$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.34 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked New York Mets | 58c | 645.85$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.26 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…62dcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 543.82$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.03 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 14c | 500.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed New York Mets | 58c | 492.69$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.93 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 477.89$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.75 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 361.6$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.49 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked New York Mets | 58c | 339.79$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.71 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked New York Mets | 64c | 308.96$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.73 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 302.49$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.07 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked New York Mets | 59c | 300.31$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.93 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 295.52$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.62 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 273.94$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.05 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 273.94$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.05 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed New York Mets | 58c | 266.61$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.12 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 252.51$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.05 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed New York Mets | 59c | 250.55$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.72 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed New York Mets | 60c | 243.41$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.36 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 242.44$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.48 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 236.47$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.68 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 234.62$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 233.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 231.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d1…883abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 212.84$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.39 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 203.96$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.7 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed St. Louis Cardinals | 13c | 198.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 197.06$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.74 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 183.31$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.82 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 177.37$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ab3dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 174.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…8de0backed New York Mets | 59c | 167.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed New York Mets | 59c | 167.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 162.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 158.91$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16f7…171fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 7c | 156.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed New York Mets | 64c | 154.19$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 143.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 140.77$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 140.03$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 139.88$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 120.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 406 | 48.5%197 W · 209 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 117.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 31c | 116.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 111$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 132 | 64.4%85 W · 47 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 110.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…9a83backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 108.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7d…2281backed St. Louis Cardinals | 15c | 108.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…16dbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 106$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed St. Louis Cardinals | 28c | 103.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 15c | 99.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…267ebacked New York Mets | 63c | 98.6$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 96.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18a…b3dbbacked New York Mets | 57c | 94.54$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…9413backed New York Mets | 54c | 93.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -8.0wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed New York Mets | 58c | 87.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 87.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 87.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 86.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 86.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed New York Mets | 58c | 84.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a2…3711backed New York Mets | 58c | 84.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11bf…770dbacked New York Mets | 53c | 83.64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.31 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed New York Mets | 59c | 80.37$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…5944backed St. Louis Cardinals | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 77.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 75.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinalsthis page
- NRFI: New York Mets vs. St. Louis CardinalsNo won
- New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.