TailMyPicks
Market

Champions League · resolved market

FC Bayern München leading at halftime?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,910
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,005

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,910 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No77c3,002$2,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.72,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5966…f804backed No51c2,841$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.31471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+45%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed No64c958.5$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.6311450.9%58 W · 56 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Yes2c900$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143831.6%12 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No51c599.93$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.9645452%236 W · 218 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No72c500$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.473565.7%23 W · 12 L+6.2wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+33.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x7a9e…2e40backed Yes49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13af…b19fbacked Yes49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…40e8backed Yes49c403.78$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1982147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No76c391.69$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.79262%57 W · 35 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+24.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes49c340.25$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.482254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+56.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes49c335.35$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.323030%9 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8df…8a93backed Yes9c322.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304619.6%9 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+28.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No51c305.94$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.4867649.4%334 W · 342 L-15.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b4…d723backed Yes47c300.15$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.37100%0 W · 10 L-3.9wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Yes17c281$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.51250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70c4…dd99backed Yes11c276.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Yes49c271.67$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.121513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.9wins-0.33per pick46cpaid-74.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x53f4…1837backed Yes22c224.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccfa…6be3backed Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100195.3%1 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick25cpaid-89%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008232.9%27 W · 55 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ee1…fcf5backed Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010736.4%39 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc385…8eb0backed Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a6b…68a0backed Yes49c202.04$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991010%1 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.36per pick46cpaid-82.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No52c190$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No51c180.93$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0834943.3%151 W · 198 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No52c180.49$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.665026%13 W · 37 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes14c142.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8814220.4%29 W · 113 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No52c139.98$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.548658.1%50 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes26c114.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303112.9%4 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-46.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d7d…10fcbacked No52c114$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.72475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x678e…1f95backed Yes49c112.69$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.22742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0d…fbb3backed Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-40%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x07b4…b731backed Yes48c103.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef16…d826backed Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ee8…07c4backed Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504531.1%14 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95cd…ef5ebacked Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-59.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee20…da28backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked No51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.994654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e0f…c18cbacked Yes17c99.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb272…bb76backed Yes50c98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491650%8 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5501…fe9abacked Yes54c92.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedc1…4ff3backed Yes47c90.08$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.441154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+38.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58be…2517backed Yes50c80.78$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40100%0 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe86…ec62backed No53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.473959%23 W · 16 L+7.0wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+71.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203650%18 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8ed…5a30backed Yes49c72.51$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74ea…449cbacked No52c64$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.721353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+28.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x362d…8cb0backed Yes49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde8e…3289backed Yes49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1715…dbe9backed Yes48c61.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.574052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+48.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1fb…f24cbacked Yes21c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.360%0 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0ac2…7e7cbacked Yes49c59.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Yes37c58.44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.751931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes34c58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7214736.1%53 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe5f6…63a8backed Yes34c57.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked No53c56.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.792259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No79c54$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1618043.3%78 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dbe…d1f3backed Yes47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-59%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf060…fc59backed Yes49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60cb…79a4backed Yes49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d1…b516backed Yes49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251010%1 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick36cpaid-84.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No53c51.02$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.883551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1683…e4abbacked No52c50.73$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.35887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick59cpaid+51.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5cbd…a3a4backed Yes48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2460%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2421354%115 W · 98 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes49c48.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-51.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Yes50c46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+26.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf485…f67ebacked Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8510…e41ebacked Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa0e…c5cebacked Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb54…0943backed Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x971f…fbc8backed Yes48c41.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202147.6%10 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+38%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9332…a3dbbacked Yes49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-55.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No52c39.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.261148.3%295 W · 316 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed No51c38.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.943444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe26f…4883backed Yes48c35.88$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+105.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0462…aa61backed Yes48c32.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.79825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-54.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc1c…2bf2backed No52c30.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.821560%9 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed Yes49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcbd…191dbacked Yes49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153125.8%8 W · 23 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154032.5%13 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a01…2e3dbacked Yes49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.72458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153141.9%13 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-41.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x09a5…0306backed Yes48c29.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked No56c26.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.982138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe906…aa69backed Yes48c22.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cfd…ba99backed No74c22.09$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.81955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d6b…8ffabacked No54c21.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.051566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.