TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8ee1…fcf5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Movies, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+41.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+411.8%+$205.91
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.49
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$238.78
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.05
Will Timothée Chalamet win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+204.3%+$154.79
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 8.5m and 9.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$929Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$929.06
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
FC Bayern München leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Luis Diaz: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+234.3%+$117.13
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 3 FC Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.33
Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.99
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$64.01
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+45.7%+$59.39
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+70.4%+$35.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colombia win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.