Tennis · resolved market
ASB Classic: Camila Osorio vs Petra Marcinko
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31beaf52dff32b9e176f99c62dbec01d748e0eb4b89d1eb79234e5f3439db717
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marcinkoof Osorio, Marcinko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Osorio | 0c | 11,353$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Osorio | 54c | 4,564$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.61 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marcinko | 47c | 3,631$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.59 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Marcinko | 68c | 2,900$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.88 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed Marcinko | 80c | 2,732$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Osorio | 21c | 2,616$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.74 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Osorio | 45c | 2,068$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.33 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Marcinko | 49c | 2,057$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.7 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Marcinko | 21c | 1,947$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.09 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Osorio | 48c | 1,900$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Marcinko | 52c | 1,900$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Marcinko | 44c | 1,873$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.89 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Osorio | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4d…575dbacked Osorio | 57c | 1,300$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Osorio | 47c | 1,222$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.89 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Marcinko | 59c | 1,216$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.24 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Osorio | 50c | 1,111$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Osorio | 58c | 1,005$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.43 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Marcinko | 47c | 975.31$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.92 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Marcinko | 42c | 863.18$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.54 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Marcinko | 64c | 829.54$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.2 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Osorio | 76c | 794.81$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.51 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Osorio | 69c | 584.59$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.79 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Marcinko | 53c | 569.6$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.08 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Osorio | 50c | 563.31$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.65 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Marcinko | 56c | 536.25$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.25 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…53b3backed Marcinko | 54c | 463.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.14 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Osorio | 48c | 370.11$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.12 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…0fb5backed Marcinko | 21c | 322.73$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +119.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Osorio | 37c | 273.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Osorio | 45c | 272.11$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.25 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Marcinko | 47c | 249.15$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.1 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Marcinko | 61c | 244.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.94 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Osorio | 45c | 224.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Marcinko | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Osorio | 46c | 219.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Marcinko | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Marcinko | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 102 | 8.8%9 W · 93 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Osorio | 61c | 200$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.06 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Osorio | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Marcinko | 54c | 189.81$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.31 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Osorio | 42c | 189.32$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.78 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Marcinko | 18c | 185.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.06 | 138 | 16.7%23 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b7…304dbacked Osorio | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Marcinko | 56c | 161.97$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.07 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Osorio | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…7ab1backed Osorio | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Osorio | 49c | 139$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Osorio | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Osorio | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Osorio | 80c | 119.8$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.84 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Osorio | 57c | 115.41$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…fcf5backed Osorio | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…d6a7backed Osorio | 75c | 92.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Marcinko | 21c | 92.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.12 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Osorio | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Marcinko | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Osorio | 14c | 74.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Osorio | 57c | 74.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…aa9abacked Marcinko | 52c | 72.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Osorio | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed7…eb18backed Marcinko | 50c | 68.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Marcinko | 54c | 65.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Marcinko | 49c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Marcinko | 55c | 60.24$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Osorio | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…2014backed Osorio | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked Marcinko | 49c | 58.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Osorio | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…6401backed Marcinko | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Marcinko | 52c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…361bbacked Osorio | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -65%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Marcinko | 57c | 41.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…d794backed Marcinko | 50c | 40.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Osorio | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Osorio | 33c | 39.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb694…023ebacked Osorio | 66c | 39.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Marcinko | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8e…cac2backed Marcinko | 50c | 37.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff3…299dbacked Marcinko | 29c | 36.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +246.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e2…9ff7backed Marcinko | 54c | 35.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Marcinko | 52c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb49…5fbdbacked Osorio | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Marcinko | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Marcinko | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb815…342fbacked Marcinko | 56c | 27.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4003…5773backed Marcinko | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b18…786ebacked Marcinko | 56c | 26.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…ceeabacked Marcinko | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Osorio | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd1…0b70backed Osorio | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Osorio | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…7a49backed Marcinko | 52c | 24.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0747…7e58backed Osorio | 69c | 22.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…9382backed Osorio | 48c | 22.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed0…7ad5backed Marcinko | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ASB Classic: Camila Osorio vs Petra Marcinkothis page
- Set Handicap: Marcinko (-1.5) vs Osorio (+1.5)Osorio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.