La Liga · resolved market
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa321e979488a85ac778d3ae95666965083f43383e35b45051b1130fbf8b179a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 39c | 3,290$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.87 | 849 | 39.7%337 W · 512 L | -21.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 2,113$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.11 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 56c | 1,823$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.85 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…e501backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.55 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 50c | 942.91$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.46 | 622 | 58%361 W · 261 L | +44.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 25c | 652.47$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.96 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 24c | 522.44$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.24 | 460 | 40.9%188 W · 272 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 56c | 397.15$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.71 | 238 | 43.3%103 W · 135 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Yes | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Yes | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +350.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 59c | 341.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.38 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 46c | 330.98$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.25 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 61c | 323.41$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.53 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 43c | 307.79$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.35 | 126 | 26.2%33 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…ef5ebacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 55c | 226.98$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.97 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 55c | 226.98$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 56c | 222.75$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.42 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 43c | 143$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…7bfebacked Yes | 20c | 138$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…8b6fbacked Yes | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 135.57$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…bb76backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…0114backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4634…d158backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…e4abbacked Yes | 43c | 101.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…fcf5backed Yes | 46c | 84.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd7…0678backed Yes | 46c | 78.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe667…6117backed No | 58c | 74.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 33c | 70.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -7.3wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…e41ebacked Yes | 43c | 69.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 19c | 68.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9322…2278backed Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 57c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 57c | 49.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…e997backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc524…bab9backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Yes | 47c | 42.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6de…73f1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed No | 71c | 39.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad05…fb3bbacked Yes | 44c | 38.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…6a12backed Yes | 45c | 37.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 31c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 214 | 39.7%85 W · 129 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…43debacked No | 56c | 34.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Barcelona leading at halftime?this page
- CA Osasuna leading at halftime?No won
- CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.