Movies · resolved market
Will Timothée Chalamet win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5565a0fc514efd417172b9fda410c010b4769a2b270bb4fb0ba34dde877648a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 33c | 3,211$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.87 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…15c2backed Yes | 72c | 2,156$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 65c | 1,105$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.71 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…d42ebacked Yes | 66c | 1,071$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.86 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…6069backed No | 34c | 976.65$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.8 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…55e4backed No | 34c | 848$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.68 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 71c | 814.33$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.58 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…f6b7backed Yes | 63c | 806$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.96 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 35c | 735.25$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.47 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed Yes | 65c | 714$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.1 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 65c | 672$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.77 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7e…7dfdbacked No | 56c | 642$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…b99bbacked No | 34c | 580.7$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.87 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…7922backed Yes | 65c | 580.16$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.96 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…abd5backed Yes | 66c | 580$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.7 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 30c | 428.66$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.15 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…829dbacked Yes | 44c | 405$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked No | 35c | 403$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.95 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed Yes | 59c | 371$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.89 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…2641backed No | 41c | 371$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.89 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d89…53a0backed Yes | 70c | 359$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 69c | 341.08$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.9 | 266 | 41.7%111 W · 155 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b8…ac4cbacked No | 35c | 324$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 40c | 322.9$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 24c | 292.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.32 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +22.0wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +88%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 35c | 278.15$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.59 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…f8a1backed No | 34c | 265$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.9 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 31c | 255.28$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.14 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c1…8cd6backed Yes | 72c | 243.43$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 39c | 237.83$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.99 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe24a…fc69backed Yes | 44c | 237$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…fcf5backed No | 33c | 230.57$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb8…68d4backed Yes | 56c | 210$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 28c | 201.4$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.92 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…5228backed No | 30c | 191.94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.57 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed0…0532backed Yes | 64c | 163$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 60cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…528bbacked Yes | 66c | 157$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…49c9backed Yes | 65c | 153.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…00c6backed Yes | 69c | 151.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…0caebacked No | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…141abacked No | 36c | 149$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…6216backed No | 36c | 147.8$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.94 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…c454backed Yes | 17c | 146$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x950d…c5d2backed No | 30c | 140$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 28c | 139.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.96 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9677…116fbacked Yes | 79c | 120.54$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…3f46backed Yes | 73c | 119.35$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.6 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 67c | 104.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 206 | 68.9%142 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 70c | 103$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.01 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 27c | 90.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.82 | 154 | 9.7%15 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 32c | 90.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.42 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 33c | 79.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x723e…0275backed Yes | 67c | 74.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…b87fbacked Yes | 71c | 70.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 65c | 68.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 64c | 64.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe004…7849backed Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…23a3backed No | 35c | 59.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 62c | 56.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96da…69ffbacked Yes | 63c | 55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17dc…aff8backed No | 39c | 51.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 73c | 50.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd36c…d7a2backed No | 35c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 32c | 49.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x296c…9e76backed No | 40c | 49.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +201.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…afd3backed No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 38c | 48.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 160 | 15.6%25 W · 135 L | -26.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…5548backed Yes | 64c | 47.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef3…b420backed No | 37c | 46.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1562…0cfcbacked No | 25c | 43.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…3d0abacked Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 27c | 38.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…31eabacked No | 54c | 36.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3c…3ebcbacked Yes | 64c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…99aabacked Yes | 66c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…e28abacked Yes | 56c | 34.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked Yes | 63c | 34.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2db…9070backed Yes | 64c | 31.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…728abacked Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d75…78b9backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xac89…d334backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked No | 44c | 27.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed No | 44c | 27.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d07…6555backed No | 44c | 26.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…b38cbacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 62c | 17.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Timothée Chalamet win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?this page
- Will Ethan Hawke win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?No won
- Will Jesse Plemons win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?No won
- Will Joel Edgerton win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?No won
- Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?No won
- Will Michael B. Jordan win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?Yes won
- Will Wagner Moura win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.