TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd36c…d7a2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Valorant, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST4542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+35.5%+$9.96
76ers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$26.49
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.02
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.44
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.44
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+104.5%+$15.23
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.91
76ers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+64.6%+$11.58
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$26.53
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23.55
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18.4
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.71
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.06
Pelicans vs. Bucksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.78
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+49.4%+$13.23
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+83.4%+$15.01
Magic vs. Thunderbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.08
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+114.6%+$21.36
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+104.6%+$20.45
Jazz vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21.97
76ers vs. Clippersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$11.73
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+229.8%+$27.8
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+42.1%+$5.93
Magic vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+55.5%+$14.27
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.64
Canucks vs. Flamesbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+135.3%+$23
Canadiens vs. Predatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$19
Jets vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Kraken vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.8
Stars vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Sharks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.59
Wild vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.89
Senators vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$16.7
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.9
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Metsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+118.6%+$21.7
Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+151.6%+$24.1
Tampa Bay Rays vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.3
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Detroit Tigers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick37cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+177.8%+$32
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$18.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+43.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+46.3%+$4.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jesse Jackson Jr. be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$5.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: England vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.