TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Angelsof Los Angeles Angels, Houston Astros
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$337,567
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$343,397

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $337,567 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Los Angeles Angels40c199,780$79,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119,868.0641149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Houston Astros60c48,777$29,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,266.27839.7%31 W · 47 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Houston Astros60c30,074$17,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,976.321,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros60c25,479$15,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,286.815,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Houston Astros41c23,017$9,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,489.2221656.5%122 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Houston Astros60c21,993$13,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,195.9265050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros61c21,891$13,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,339.841,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Houston Astros60c18,888$11,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,332.88464.3%54 W · 30 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Houston Astros53c17,879$9,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,416.8615550.3%78 W · 77 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Houston Astros60c13,648$8,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,188.691,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6606…d494backed Houston Astros0c12,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121782.4%14 W · 3 L+4.8wins+0.28per pick54cpaid+45.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros14c6,169$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.696,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Angels69c5,154$3,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.952,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Houston Astros60c5,001$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.61,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Los Angeles Angels48c4,156$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,156.02742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Houston Astros46c4,078$1,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,873.7154941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Houston Astros0c3,941$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.43929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Los Angeles Angels40c3,740$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,24012551.2%64 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Houston Astros60c3,414$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,060.431,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked Los Angeles Angels80c2,928$2,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.962763%17 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Los Angeles Angels39c2,617$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,596.1847953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Houston Astros60c2,500$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50083248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47bc…9504backed Los Angeles Angels40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5006653%35 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Los Angeles Angels39c2,430$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.2623538.3%90 W · 145 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Los Angeles Angels39c2,222$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.4267250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Houston Astros60c1,802$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.2267849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros60c1,765$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.616,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Houston Astros60c1,578$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.631,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Houston Astros17c1,539$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2557934.2%27 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x714d…6e05backed Houston Astros60c1,400$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8406437.5%24 W · 40 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Los Angeles Angels40c1,392$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.2211125.2%28 W · 83 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Houston Astros23c1,343$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.049219.6%18 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Houston Astros21c1,265$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.651,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Houston Astros17c1,117$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.3554715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Los Angeles Angels38c1,110$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.21,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe0…6e30backed Houston Astros21c1,000$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2057135.2%25 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Houston Astros6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Houston Astros17c882.35$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15094034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Houston Astros60c833.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.032,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ff9…a78bbacked Houston Astros60c817.2$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.322846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf590…382dbacked Houston Astros59c799.99$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4721637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-35.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros34c782.84$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.7712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Los Angeles Angels74c648.74$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2418056.1%101 W · 79 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Houston Astros32c634.38$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20329344.7%131 W · 162 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Los Angeles Angels39c615.24$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.428032.5%26 W · 54 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Houston Astros60c600$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36022548.4%109 W · 116 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x009b…e769backed Houston Astros61c550$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.512262.3%76 W · 46 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x692e…ee58backed Houston Astros19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002035%7 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Los Angeles Angels39c427$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.4744643.3%193 W · 253 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Houston Astros60c424.8$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.8870735.1%248 W · 459 L-31.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Houston Astros60c360$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2162748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Houston Astros65c350$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.565651.2%336 W · 320 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Houston Astros54c307$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.0855541.4%230 W · 325 L-26.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Los Angeles Angels40c299.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.993,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf89f…32b0backed Houston Astros61c278.69$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702227.3%6 W · 16 L-6.2wins-0.28per pick55cpaid-48.6%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Houston Astros20c268$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.64,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Houston Astros61c260.66$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15938455.2%212 W · 172 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Houston Astros60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Houston Astros61c245.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15044348.5%215 W · 228 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aba…4961backed Houston Astros52c235.18$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.421136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Houston Astros60c227.01$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.0346547.1%219 W · 246 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Los Angeles Angels39c219$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.5968846.8%322 W · 366 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Houston Astros61c218.03$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Houston Astros61c210$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.15846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf40e…9addbacked Houston Astros60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206958%40 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Houston Astros6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.89031.1%28 W · 62 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa070…1af3backed Houston Astros61c192.02$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.132653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Houston Astros53c189$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.171,05347.3%498 W · 555 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Los Angeles Angels40c188$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.835650.6%180 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Houston Astros14c185.19$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.934420.5%9 W · 35 L-9.2wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-27.6%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x87f0…361dbacked Houston Astros61c170$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.79554.7%52 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Houston Astros61c165$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6561250.5%309 W · 303 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Houston Astros61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc0…1912backed Houston Astros48c151.92$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.922540%10 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick52cpaid+76.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Houston Astros48c136.94$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.146,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf25…636dbacked Houston Astros25c134.74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.691457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a46…196cbacked Houston Astros25c134.74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.691346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Houston Astros21c134.46$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8784122.7%191 W · 650 L-81.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Houston Astros60c133.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8066551.1%340 W · 325 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e4a…1a5cbacked Houston Astros61c132.79$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Houston Astros61c131.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808248.8%40 W · 42 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x45e8…5169backed Los Angeles Angels45c126.24$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.437262.5%45 W · 27 L+10.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x109e…0a59backed Houston Astros24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302969%20 W · 9 L+5.8wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+79.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x08a1…10dcbacked Houston Astros61c122.95$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7521851.4%112 W · 106 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Houston Astros61c120$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.26654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Houston Astros61c116$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7631949.5%158 W · 161 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Los Angeles Angels77c112$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7647745.7%218 W · 259 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Houston Astros61c107$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2724751.8%128 W · 119 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Houston Astros58c106.07$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5235245.5%160 W · 192 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Houston Astros62c104.85$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.019846.9%46 W · 52 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…7b83backed Houston Astros26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Los Angeles Angels40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a96…b382backed Houston Astros60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6039652.8%209 W · 187 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fba…26dcbacked Houston Astros59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5923152.8%122 W · 109 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfc7…7f02backed Houston Astros60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606055%33 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Los Angeles Angels40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6069351.9%360 W · 333 L+26.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Los Angeles Angels39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6113560%81 W · 54 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Los Angeles Angels40c99.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9940645.1%183 W · 223 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa689…15fcbacked Los Angeles Angels40c99.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9924346.9%114 W · 129 L-1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.