Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Asterisk vs The Rad Syndicate (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8462756a38b66b2984c257db65b41acad78f194b14cb9ce9d3d93d260ed2969d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Asteriskof Asterisk, The Rad Syndicate
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked The Rad Syndicate | 37c | 600$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Asterisk | 63c | 491.94$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed The Rad Syndicate | 36c | 435.45$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.58 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed The Rad Syndicate | 37c | 407.98$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.05 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…0b75backed Asterisk | 63c | 396.82$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.82 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Asterisk | 66c | 384.11$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.68 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…ddedbacked The Rad Syndicate | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe96…4a6dbacked Asterisk | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed The Rad Syndicate | 36c | 119.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed The Rad Syndicate | 34c | 110.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Asterisk | 66c | 110.01$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed The Rad Syndicate | 15c | 101.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed The Rad Syndicate | 14c | 98.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Asterisk | 64c | 82.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Asterisk | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Asterisk | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…3fd9backed Asterisk | 65c | 77.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Asterisk | 66c | 62$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked The Rad Syndicate | 34c | 55.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Asterisk | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed The Rad Syndicate | 36c | 47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Asterisk | 66c | 44.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Asterisk | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Asterisk | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe109…d36ebacked The Rad Syndicate | 39c | 36.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked The Rad Syndicate | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Asterisk | 66c | 33.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Asterisk | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked The Rad Syndicate | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed The Rad Syndicate | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd36c…d7a2backed Asterisk | 63c | 29.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Asterisk | 62c | 20.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77eb…7f9bbacked Asterisk | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a18…d98cbacked Asterisk | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.