Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Jesse Jackson Jr. be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x689f96a32c85e94a996b9ff65f724c89f8c688787d66d5064ed1c6b84106592e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,727 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb547…a237backed No | 37c | 2,778$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 41c | 1,628$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.69 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 17c | 1,294$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…ac22backed Yes | 63c | 1,252$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…35e8backed No | 40c | 956$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffd…b072backed Yes | 37c | 950$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…1812backed No | 40c | 942$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +62%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Yes | 11c | 907.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes | 55c | 879$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c5…2dacbacked No | 76c | 843$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…a5b8backed Yes | 24c | 811$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…aa57backed Yes | 63c | 690$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…db83backed Yes | 60c | 671$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…0137backed Yes | 60c | 657$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf8…ded2backed Yes | 60c | 632$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…79c8backed Yes | 56c | 572.99$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.35 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…99f7backed No | 63c | 482$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…d14dbacked No | 63c | 468$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 50c | 444.22$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.81 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…6562backed Yes | 63c | 438$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 51c | 395.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 40c | 389.22$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.24 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 49c | 360.1$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.26 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 51c | 358.25$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.28 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 63c | 340.67$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.85 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3744…d422backed Yes | 67c | 308.32$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be7…46eebacked No | 45c | 304$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…aa1abacked No | 45c | 293$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5f…d395backed No | 45c | 282$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e3…67dcbacked No | 78c | 272.1$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.94 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e63…399abacked Yes | 67c | 250$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…914cbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 61c | 205.4$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 49c | 204.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 51c | 204$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.54 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3307…b2c4backed Yes | 44c | 191$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3f…0fa5backed Yes | 68c | 172.71$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fc…6de0backed Yes | 45c | 166$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c0…54e1backed Yes | 51c | 166$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e63…e568backed Yes | 44c | 166$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d5…4f65backed Yes | 60c | 166$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…ef41backed Yes | 50c | 166$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 39c | 140.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…eb56backed Yes | 78c | 130$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…c462backed Yes | 40c | 129.93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1849…8916backed No | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +134%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcffd…7f24backed Yes | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 47c | 114$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 10c | 103.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 30c | 102.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 497 | 11.5%57 W · 440 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 15c | 88.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 20c | 82.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 55c | 81.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa95b…711abacked Yes | 64c | 64.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 73c | 63$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 57c | 62.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 166 | 32.5%54 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…26fdbacked No | 40c | 62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 50c | 59.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed No | 34c | 58.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 24c | 57.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 90 | 10%9 W · 81 L | -20.0wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked No | 45c | 57.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 34c | 54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 133 | 17.3%23 W · 110 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…7922backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc245…bccbbacked Yes | 63c | 49.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 48c | 45.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 31c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 39c | 39.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd343…724ebacked No | 36c | 39.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30f…a161backed Yes | 64c | 36.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…814dbacked No | 77c | 34.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 63c | 34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b0…d650backed No | 53c | 32.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 35c | 30.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 67c | 30.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…cefabacked Yes | 63c | 29.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…c918backed No | 66c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 71c | 24.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 335 | 21.8%73 W · 262 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 69c | 24.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…8dddbacked No | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…eb47backed Yes | 67c | 21.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdb…874ebacked Yes | 75c | 21.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd36c…d7a2backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 61c | 19.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 69c | 19.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b2…19c0backed Yes | 71c | 15.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jesse Jackson Jr. be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?this page
- Will Adal Regis be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?No won
- Will Donna Miller be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?Yes won
- Will Eric France be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?No won
- Will Robert Peters be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?No won
- Will Willie Preston be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?No won
- Will Yumeka Brown be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.