TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: QT DIG∞ vs Crest Gaming Zst (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 1

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Crest Gaming Zstof QT DIG∞, Crest Gaming Zst
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,275
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,480

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,275 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Crest Gaming Zst62c2,105$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.4615850%79 W · 79 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked Crest Gaming Zst57c2,026$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.310863%68 W · 40 L+15.4wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Crest Gaming Zst60c1,359$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.636053.3%32 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe01f…ab4abacked Crest Gaming Zst62c1,322$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.4125444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked QT DIG∞41c1,284$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.971,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked QT DIG∞45c1,276$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.411854.2%64 W · 54 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x43ff…a491backed QT DIG∞39c1,184$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93af…32abbacked QT DIG∞46c885.97$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.316852.9%36 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd74…76b9backed Crest Gaming Zst61c833.59$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.733938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked QT DIG∞39c754$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.0619157.1%109 W · 82 L+23.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed QT DIG∞38c703$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.145728.1%16 W · 41 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-29%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed QT DIG∞44c667.36$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.52231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked QT DIG∞40c594$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.241838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeee8…1038backed Crest Gaming Zst52c483.08$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.711030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-47.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9b…3de2backed QT DIG∞38c475$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.52138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed QT DIG∞40c463$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.4615942.1%67 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d91…c930backed Crest Gaming Zst46c320$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.521257.1%121 W · 91 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked QT DIG∞38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142213.6%3 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.21per pick34cpaid-63.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed QT DIG∞40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209746.4%45 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked QT DIG∞38c299.98$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9986747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked QT DIG∞37c299.33$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7561035.9%219 W · 391 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked QT DIG∞39c246.83$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9834847.4%165 W · 183 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked QT DIG∞39c239.55$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.934153.7%22 W · 19 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+29%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed QT DIG∞40c228.53$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4170251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked Crest Gaming Zst48c227.49$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.673964.1%25 W · 14 L+6.4wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+36%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked QT DIG∞69c216.43$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e2b…7fc1backed QT DIG∞67c200.76$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1352259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Crest Gaming Zst61c197.48$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0225556.1%143 W · 112 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed QT DIG∞39c174.12$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7527546.2%127 W · 148 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked QT DIG∞39c164.25$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.068243.9%36 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Crest Gaming Zst49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.58345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed QT DIG∞48c135.95$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.552853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68c0…7e68backed QT DIG∞39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick37cpaid+111.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2a4…02b4backed QT DIG∞43c128.11$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed Crest Gaming Zst61c126.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5328247.5%134 W · 148 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed QT DIG∞42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5569…c927backed Crest Gaming Zst48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.173100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+70.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Crest Gaming Zst50c102$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5140254.7%220 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked QT DIG∞41c99.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4114037.9%53 W · 87 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Crest Gaming Zst43c99.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5769722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Crest Gaming Zst52c91.19$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1912261.5%75 W · 47 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a79…c6a2backed Crest Gaming Zst71c86.82$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked QT DIG∞51c81.06$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6888844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x638d…7757backed QT DIG∞40c66.05$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd991…0133backed QT DIG∞39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511559.1%68 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Crest Gaming Zst59c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.96053.3%32 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1193…d9c4backed QT DIG∞38c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.81330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed QT DIG∞39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.432141.7%134 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Crest Gaming Zst33c59.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8226730.7%82 W · 185 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fc0…8f18backed QT DIG∞40c59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.355834.5%20 W · 38 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Crest Gaming Zst63c58.29$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.747051.4%36 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Crest Gaming Zst61c55.61$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.695162.7%32 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ba0…24d5backed QT DIG∞40c55.03$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.884057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked QT DIG∞39c50.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.581650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca1d…9782backed QT DIG∞40c50.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204040%16 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed QT DIG∞29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.53542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc141…ef2fbacked QT DIG∞30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+100.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed QT DIG∞36c49.28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7429151.5%150 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe75b…08d3backed Crest Gaming Zst60c48.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…3fd9backed Crest Gaming Zst59c46.06$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.882661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked QT DIG∞48c44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.293464.7%22 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed QT DIG∞36c41.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.992846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0386…2b1abacked QT DIG∞36c41.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9917039.4%67 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccfa…6be3backed Crest Gaming Zst61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.982035%7 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1872…bcabbacked Crest Gaming Zst50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x34c5…db89backed QT DIG∞40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1615952.8%84 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd36c…d7a2backed QT DIG∞40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked QT DIG∞40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167142.3%30 W · 41 L-8.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbda…8bd5backed QT DIG∞29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.610550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Crest Gaming Zst60c37.57$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.181,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c6d…8cc4backed QT DIG∞63c36.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed QT DIG∞35c35.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4154342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x023d…23acbacked Crest Gaming Zst62c32.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.471163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Crest Gaming Zst62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2662856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62f9…ae42backed Crest Gaming Zst64c31.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.492050%10 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Crest Gaming Zst35c30.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6915232.9%50 W · 102 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed QT DIG∞41c30.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.338050%40 W · 40 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Crest Gaming Zst67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.96759.7%40 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82cf…3d55backed Crest Gaming Zst47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.94052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd96b…be6bbacked Crest Gaming Zst57c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.631369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed QT DIG∞49c23.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7334739.8%138 W · 209 L-13.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Crest Gaming Zst68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.434571%245 W · 100 L-1.5wins0.00per pick71cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58fe…dc22backed Crest Gaming Zst62c19.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed QT DIG∞58c19.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.594660.9%28 W · 18 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2798…a9c7backed QT DIG∞64c19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.162665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+37.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8131…758cbacked QT DIG∞76c16.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.