TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Avalanche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jetsof Jets, Avalanche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$831,905
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$965,899

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $831,905 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 477 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5bec…b215backed Jets37c241,026$89,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151,348.2616442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Avalanche63c189,619$118,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118,881.721,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Jets30c97,175$28,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,291.831,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe30e…6b87backed Avalanche71c90,000$63,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,900250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Jets29c50,232$14,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,664.5151550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Avalanche70c34,311$24,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,017.559450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Jets30c30,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,999.9814650.7%74 W · 72 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Avalanche71c26,818$18,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,930.5912152.1%63 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Avalanche63c23,430$14,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,711.5127448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Jets29c21,214$6,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,061.7536748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Jets30c15,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,50012950.4%65 W · 64 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Jets29c14,000$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,899.9450049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Avalanche70c13,597$9,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,538.3461950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Jets30c13,570$4,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,498.9985250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Avalanche70c13,411$9,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,402.291,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec7e…5fddbacked Avalanche70c10,890$7,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,6233951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche71c10,513$7,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,448.541,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Avalanche70c10,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0005149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe262…ac17backed Avalanche70c9,843$6,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,8901643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Avalanche70c9,100$6,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,3704047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Avalanche63c7,939$4,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,998.9337754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jets45c6,769$3,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,694.592,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd3…41f8backed Avalanche9c6,005$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.453240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Avalanche63c5,495$3,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,46240356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jets29c5,000$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,549.981,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Avalanche70c4,800$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,36043548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Avalanche70c4,800$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,36060249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x607d…53a1backed Jets31c4,419$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,069.3513446.3%62 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Avalanche60c4,258$2,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,564.491,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Avalanche63c4,223$2,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,660.7333450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Jets53c4,148$2,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9381,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Jets30c4,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80027547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Avalanche70c4,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.9930552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe903…6adbbacked Jets35c3,994$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,581.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+56%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…a992backed Avalanche17c3,552$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60012328.5%35 W · 88 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Jets44c3,482$1,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,954.195049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c36…7854backed Avalanche69c3,377$2,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,329.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Avalanche70c3,329$2,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3306758.2%39 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Jets31c3,226$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,225.8121849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Avalanche63c3,173$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.9917247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jets46c2,795$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.093,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Jets29c2,760$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.644551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Avalanche70c2,722$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.3991945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Avalanche50c2,718$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.7427739.4%109 W · 168 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Avalanche70c2,674$1,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,876.0645955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Avalanche69c2,647$1,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,826.5447951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Avalanche50c2,570$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.947450%37 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Avalanche50c2,470$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.6133234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche57c2,445$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.952,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Avalanche65c2,293$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.9936948%177 W · 192 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6165…db3cbacked Avalanche71c2,228$1,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5824348.8%21 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-22.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5950…e49ebacked Jets30c2,199$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+72.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8045…26c5backed Avalanche70c2,199$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Jets29c2,188$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.4831848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58fb…1f65backed Jets31c2,139$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,486.286640.9%27 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Avalanche70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40026750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Avalanche70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40020450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Avalanche70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.9954047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Avalanche71c1,972$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.1283149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Jets47c1,904$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.873754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Avalanche71c1,875$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.1845751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Avalanche64c1,837$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.381,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Avalanche65c1,718$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.389636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Jets59c1,641$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.9512552%65 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Avalanche51c1,606$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.3932653.1%173 W · 153 L+18.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a2c…dfe7backed Avalanche70c1,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0501353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Jets31c1,500$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.2786549.1%425 W · 440 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Jets54c1,490$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.271,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Avalanche70c1,471$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.448252.4%43 W · 39 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Jets29c1,400$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99460337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Avalanche61c1,358$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.2275251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7372…ba52backed Jets38c1,330$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.41666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+73.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd437…738fbacked Avalanche12c1,282$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.84771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick42cpaid+38.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6aa7…db93backed Avalanche33c1,203$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.043063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Avalanche63c1,192$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.6514650%73 W · 73 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Avalanche43c1,140$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.097755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Jets39c1,133$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.9489355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Jets32c1,123$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.592642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Avalanche71c1,101$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.818544.7%38 W · 47 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Avalanche70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70045749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Avalanche71c1,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed Avalanche70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Avalanche70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+31.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x64ba…b7bfbacked Avalanche70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7004060%24 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Avalanche70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70050251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Avalanche69c1,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6907354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Avalanche54c997.52$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54017353.8%93 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Avalanche70c990$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69311243.8%49 W · 63 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Avalanche70c953.12$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.181,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Avalanche46c941.74$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.6451949.5%257 W · 262 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Avalanche17c930.65$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.3836852.2%192 W · 176 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Jets30c842.55$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.3352946.9%248 W · 281 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Avalanche70c809.57$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.73050%15 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Avalanche64c800$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51220552.2%107 W · 98 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x843a…043cbacked Avalanche71c800$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-58.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Avalanche55c789.91$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.337838.5%30 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Avalanche70c738.69$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.962740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche53c713.95$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.132,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Jets29c676.63$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.4148549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Avalanche72c672.22$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48413845.7%63 W · 75 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.