NHL · resolved market
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd13378ba18926e1331b71d01293311c0a83a7194a8afe3874cbf8b8c126e10aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jetsof Avalanche, Jets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Jets | 52c | 39,600$20,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,061.11 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Avalanche | 48c | 28,934$13,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,946.52 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Avalanche | 48c | 14,325$6,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,876 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe80…0784backed Avalanche | 49c | 3,957$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Jets | 52c | 3,858$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.94 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Avalanche | 49c | 3,298$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.02 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Jets | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jets | 51c | 1,685$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.65 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Jets | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.17 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Jets | 51c | 1,623$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.04 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Jets | 51c | 1,400$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Avalanche | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.16 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Jets | 52c | 871$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.08 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Jets | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Avalanche | 48c | 634$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.32 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Avalanche | 48c | 532$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.36 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jets | 51c | 441.96$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.56 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Avalanche | 48c | 412.5$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…731cbacked Avalanche | 48c | 391.89$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.09 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Jets | 52c | 390.1$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.25 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Jets | 51c | 294$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.06 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Avalanche | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Avalanche | 19c | 229.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jets | 73c | 225.46$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.72 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Avalanche | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Avalanche | 48c | 146$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Avalanche | 48c | 146$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…f133backed Jets | 52c | 136.14$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…8616backed Jets | 52c | 106.9$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Jets | 51c | 94.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Avalanche | 23c | 93.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche | 48c | 91.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Avalanche | 49c | 86.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Jets | 56c | 82.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Jets | 51c | 62.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Jets | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…9341backed Avalanche | 48c | 57.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.4wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Avalanche | 29c | 36.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4458…d13bbacked Jets | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x787a…9199backed Jets | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f2…2c56backed Jets | 53c | 21.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Avalanche | 48c | 21.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed Jets | 53c | 20.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Jets | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc01d…2e79backed Jets | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)this page
- Jets vs. AvalancheJets won
- Jets vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Over won
- Jets vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Over won
- Jets vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Under won
- Jets vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.