NHL · resolved market
Jets vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9b0c63ef26113ed8ed987fedb9de21b8353d202e467941c7551d895d7064fd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 46c | 1,250$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.97 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 900$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 657.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 502.47$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.4 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 54c | 499.14$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.1 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 45c | 497.98$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.26 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 42c | 457.92$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.45 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 52c | 326$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.36 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 54c | 282.86$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.12 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Under | 6c | 225.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 47c | 211.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.91 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f3…4ef5backed Over | 60c | 203.77$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Over | 54c | 186$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 43c | 184.41$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.27 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 60c | 102$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 42c | 84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 74.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 62c | 72.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 33c | 67.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 42c | 66.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 47c | 65.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 48c | 58.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 58.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 34c | 58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 53c | 57.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Over | 41c | 56.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 40c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…053ebacked Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee18…fe34backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 34c | 45.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fee…842bbacked Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 53c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 54c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 45c | 40.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 40c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 64c | 37.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…4565backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 44c | 35.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 38c | 29.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Over | 37c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 35c | 29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Under | 52c | 25.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 149 | 63.8%95 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Over | 54c | 22.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 53c | 20.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jets vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5this page
- Jets vs. AvalancheJets won
- Jets vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Over won
- Jets vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Under won
- Jets vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Jets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.