MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8be49c8e2d78a9ffe11d0ec743a9fc676e0f47be5dbf80f02f5beebdd802a06f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Minnesota Twins, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 14,613$8,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,123.99 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 10,866$4,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,519.47 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 9,724$5,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,378.46 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 8,322$3,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,059.96 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Minnesota Twins | 63c | 6,101$3,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.52 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 3,125$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.79 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 2,874$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.88 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 2,479$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.4 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins | 68c | 2,415$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.01 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 2,263$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.65 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Baltimore Orioles | 13c | 2,210$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.36 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Baltimore Orioles | 13c | 1,708$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 1,566$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.37 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Minnesota Twins | 63c | 1,486$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.09 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 20c | 1,368$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.73 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Baltimore Orioles | 28c | 1,250$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 998.09$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.85 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 964.52$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.33 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 948.58$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.9 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 925$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.13 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 850.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 655.92$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.64 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…b0e1backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 652$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.2 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 28c | 526.72$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.48 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 523$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.57 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 496$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.25 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Baltimore Orioles | 14c | 473.44$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.28 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 454.04$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.96 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 426.77$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.33 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 404.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 398.65$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.58 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 350.94$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.08 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 286.06$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 280$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.4 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 276.67$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 271.5$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.16 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 266$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.26 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 257.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.42 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Minnesota Twins | 35c | 250$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 213.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc0…099dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 209.66$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 201.75$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.21 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…6a33backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 195.26$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.58 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…d526backed Baltimore Orioles | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 182.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 175.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.35 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Minnesota Twins | 36c | 163$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.32 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 152$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 145.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Baltimore Orioles | 12c | 127$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.23per pick | 30cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Minnesota Twins | 80c | 126$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 120$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 119.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Baltimore Orioles | 30c | 118.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…a69bbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 118.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.92 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 111.83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.97 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Minnesota Twins | 78c | 108.33$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 104.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 102.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 102.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de4…67a8backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 102.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 102.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 102.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 102.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Baltimore Orioles | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 95.06$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 89.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 88.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…7ac1backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 83.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 83.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…4648backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 79.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 78.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.06 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 77.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 77.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x406c…ec46backed Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 72.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Minnesota Twins | 28c | 70.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…f025backed Minnesota Twins | 61c | 70.17$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +5.1wins | +0.37per pick | 56cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- NRFI: Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore OriolesYes won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.