TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canucks vs. Flames

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Flamesof Canucks, Flames
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,302,065
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,402,180

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,302,065 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 806 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5bec…b215backed Canucks41c307,042$125,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125,887.3716442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Canucks40c271,931$108,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108,686.3967051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Flames62c132,744$81,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,911.9840351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Flames59c128,500$76,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,13548549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Flames59c75,000$44,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,7504949%24 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Flames77c68,084$52,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,906.157149.3%35 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Canucks41c37,500$15,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,37548545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Flames59c24,990$14,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,245.8744848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Flames63c24,710$15,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,0561,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Flames59c24,500$14,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,04515949.7%79 W · 80 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6165…db3cbacked Flames60c21,667$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,666.674348.8%21 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-22.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Flames59c18,888$11,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,744.0821850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Flames64c18,241$11,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,575.0927448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a65…9142backed Canucks27c17,000$4,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,569.992166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Flames59c15,318$9,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,215.581,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Flames59c15,062$8,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,189.5759450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Canucks0c13,222$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6918520.5%38 W · 147 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Flames60c12,417$7,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,966.6732151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Flames59c12,400$7,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,08451452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Flames59c11,916$7,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,885.5679350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89a…8667backed Flames60c11,500$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,599.831770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Flames65c8,850$5,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,111.082,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Canucks40c8,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20019051.1%97 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Flames60c7,500$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0005149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Flames60c7,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Flames61c6,674$4,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,602.7785250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Flames69c6,182$4,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,910.2375251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Canucks40c6,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40026058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Flames72c5,648$4,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,605.632,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Canucks24c5,483$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.421,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Flames59c5,085$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.8552050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Flames76c5,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2008952.8%47 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Canucks40c4,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Flames60c4,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.9930552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Flames76c3,784$2,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.414062.1%87 W · 53 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Canucks40c3,333$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.227547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Canucks39c3,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.991,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Flames76c2,895$2,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.0233450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Canucks0c2,716$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.072504.8%12 W · 238 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+159.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Flames60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0006758.2%39 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Flames60c2,414$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.5861950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3191…0665backed Canucks26c2,288$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Flames60c2,222$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.889249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Flames76c2,168$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.9537754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x45b0…4857backed Flames59c2,100$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Flames59c2,082$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.6547951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Canucks15c2,065$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-46.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Flames59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82026750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Flames59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8202958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Flames59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82020450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4baf…5ea9backed Flames61c1,995$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.051154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd36f…3ca8backed Flames61c1,995$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.051080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+45.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x50da…7dd5backed Canucks39c1,995$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.05966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x356e…00cbbacked Canucks39c1,995$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.051060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b0c…9d1abacked Flames61c1,995$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.051266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fa1…6919backed Canucks39c1,995$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.05977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+42.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0221…6567backed Flames61c1,990$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.11040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7c2…5a9cbacked Flames61c1,990$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.1955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8f3…8766backed Canucks39c1,990$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.1862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x186f…5299backed Canucks39c1,990$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbebd…c277backed Canucks39c1,985$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.151250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86c4…f076backed Flames61c1,985$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.151070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ad9…ec4dbacked Flames61c1,985$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.151172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c09…4b13backed Flames61c1,985$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.151060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c76…c9a6backed Flames61c1,985$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.151181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+43.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12fb…aa95backed Canucks39c1,985$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.15966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae98…0acebacked Canucks39c1,985$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.151154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6a…2546backed Flames61c1,985$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.151070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x645a…bac5backed Canucks39c1,985$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.15933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b20…e245backed Canucks39c1,985$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.15966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec55…4e98backed Canucks39c1,980$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.21154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66db…bbd0backed Canucks39c1,980$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.2955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd93c…f451backed Canucks39c1,980$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64a6…529bbacked Flames61c1,980$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.21172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x646c…5e42backed Flames61c1,980$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.2955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d45…9b4abacked Flames61c1,980$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.21163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x326f…a69bbacked Flames61c1,975$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.251060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd4…56cfbacked Canucks39c1,975$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.251163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78be…f239backed Canucks39c1,975$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.25944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x78e8…31b3backed Canucks39c1,975$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.25825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-59%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f4d…4023backed Flames61c1,975$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.25966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb665…658bbacked Flames61c1,975$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.251163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5153…e1acbacked Flames61c1,970$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.3650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1907…e29ebacked Canucks39c1,970$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.3955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49b2…2b60backed Flames61c1,970$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.31070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9de7…96d0backed Canucks39c1,970$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.3650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa4be…c8eabacked Canucks39c1,965$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.35944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…6b12backed Flames61c1,965$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.35850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcefc…e1b3backed Canucks39c1,960$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.4875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+37.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a88…cc1abacked Canucks39c1,960$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c40…6778backed Canucks39c1,960$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.41070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x197d…6dd7backed Flames61c1,960$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.412100%12 W · 0 L+5.2wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x7173…c513backed Flames61c1,960$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.41283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+53.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc1f3…8f32backed Flames61c1,960$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.41163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6090…6920backed Flames61c1,960$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.41163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e97…af5cbacked Canucks39c1,960$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.4850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0651…6bc1backed Canucks39c1,960$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e9e…cd02backed Flames61c1,960$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.41172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+30.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d87…2029backed Flames61c1,955$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.451070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94fc…1704backed Flames61c1,955$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.451060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.