NHL · resolved market
Canucks vs. Flames: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x692b4d1e87301be78e141d2132739f2fa473089655062c479595d806e52f9035
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 57c | 45,000$25,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,349.99 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 43c | 42,335$18,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,203.98 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 1,027$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.67 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 43c | 892.31$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.69 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 43c | 501.18$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.51 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 43c | 418.6$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcf…a152backed Over | 57c | 377.19$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.19 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 56c | 297.18$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.76 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 43c | 247.31$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.34 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 43c | 180.21$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.49 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 43c | 175$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 23c | 154.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 43c | 137.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 43c | 128.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15bf…1ea2backed Over | 57c | 117.54$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Under | 44c | 116.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 43c | 101.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 44c | 82.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 44c | 81.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 42c | 76.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 58c | 68.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 57c | 55.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 61c | 51.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…4a7cbacked Over | 57c | 37.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x142d…bf73backed Under | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 45c | 25.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…e905backed Over | 57c | 25.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…abdfbacked Over | 55c | 18.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canucks vs. Flames: O/U 5.5this page
- Canucks vs. FlamesFlames won
- Canucks vs. Flames: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Flames: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Flames (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.