NHL · resolved market
Canucks vs. Flames: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec33bb4359f9921e8276e72c5183b449c962e1ae25a0d6c4253b6922f1abd558
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 28c | 1,110$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.2 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 72c | 962$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.07 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 49c | 474.17$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.68 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Under | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 25c | 288.27$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.2 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Under | 7c | 236.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 71c | 179.66$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 56c | 164.54$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.04 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 52c | 145.8$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.77 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…a38cbacked Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 30c | 91.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.66 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 60c | 85.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 78.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 40c | 73.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Under | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 26c | 47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 59c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe17e…98ecbacked Under | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 74cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Over | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 49c | 25.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 72c | 16.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 79c | 15.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e20…b6b5backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canucks vs. Flames: O/U 7.5this page
- Canucks vs. FlamesFlames won
- Canucks vs. Flames: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Flames (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.