NHL · resolved market
Canucks vs. Flames: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3586d601c53b1a8d1e745c816db38b6237d86c71f33efe34accab401e5ad8ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 45c | 459.24$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.58 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Under | 38c | 437$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.12 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 62c | 358$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.98 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 180.33$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Under | 45c | 111.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 54c | 105.67$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 59c | 82.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 55c | 73.96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 45c | 68.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 70c | 61.88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 52c | 45.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…d20bbacked Under | 36c | 40.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 76c | 31.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 40c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 64c | 28.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 67c | 28.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48f…4ae5backed Under | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 59cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Under | 54c | 19.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 149 | 63.8%95 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canucks vs. Flames: O/U 6.5this page
- Canucks vs. FlamesFlames won
- Canucks vs. Flames: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Flames: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Flames (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.