NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Heat

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9623caa0057f64f83114fa70e24b4bd824bdcdbf7a3960a2e362fdc92180cb5

Rebuilt 27 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Hawksof Hawks, Heat
Resolved: Feb 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,926,953
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,227,564

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,926,953 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 844 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Heat	52c	249,690$130,307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130,307.42	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Hawks	51c	225,355$114,931 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110,424.06	90	43.3%39 W · 51 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bd7…373ebacked Heat	49c	204,081$100,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99,999.69	93	50.5%47 W · 46 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Hawks	48c	81,710$39,221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,489.05	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Heat	52c	63,064$33,033 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,033.44	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Hawks	48c	54,176$25,863 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,313.44	596	53.4%318 W · 278 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Hawks	40c	47,292$18,713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,579.25	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcad4…c108backed Hawks	45c	45,958$20,731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,226.87	66	51.5%34 W · 32 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f4…544cbacked Heat	52c	36,288$19,031 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,030.5	39	20.5%8 W · 31 L	-11.0wins	-0.28per pick	49cpaid	-58.8%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Hawks	51c	27,632$14,021 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,611.14	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Hawks	45c	27,188$12,258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,930.51	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Heat	2c	26,876$611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$611.45	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Heat	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	227	0%0 W · 227 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Heat	24c	24,968$5,994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,994.07	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Heat	46c	23,176$10,607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,607.12	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c9…cd97backed Hawks	39c	23,000$8,970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,030	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbab7…bc7cbacked Heat	61c	23,000$14,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,029.74	90	54.4%49 W · 41 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Heat	13c	20,000$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Heat	13c	20,000$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Hawks	48c	19,862$9,534 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,328.41	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Hawks	48c	16,621$7,978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,642.77	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Hawks	49c	15,889$7,707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,182.89	287	42.9%123 W · 164 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a36…4121backed Heat	52c	15,067$7,774 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,773.58	119	49.6%59 W · 60 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Hawks	49c	14,996$7,413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,583.91	314	45.2%142 W · 172 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Hawks	48c	12,810$6,149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,661.42	377	47.5%179 W · 198 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Hawks	48c	12,680$6,086 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,593.6	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+5.9wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks	47c	12,615$5,931 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,683.93	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Hawks	45c	12,312$5,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,771.51	290	55.5%161 W · 129 L	+15.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Heat	51c	11,112$5,667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,667.1	623	47.7%297 W · 326 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Hawks	42c	10,662$4,478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,183.83	131	42.7%56 W · 75 L	-8.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Hawks	48c	10,646$5,110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,535.83	173	56.1%97 W · 76 L	+8.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2219…e243backed Heat	50c	10,124$5,062 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,062	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Hawks	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,200	285	54%154 W · 131 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Heat	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	197	51.8%102 W · 95 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Heat	50c	9,999$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,999.5	173	48.6%84 W · 89 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Hawks	77c	9,782$7,517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,265.24	93	36.6%34 W · 59 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Heat	57c	9,432$5,376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,376.24	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Hawks	38c	9,415$3,578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,837.46	354	50.8%180 W · 174 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Heat	54c	9,259$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	208	49.5%103 W · 105 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hawks	47c	9,214$4,330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,883.27	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Hawks	45c	8,889$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,888.89	293	47.4%139 W · 154 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Heat	12c	8,558$1,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,026.93	483	52%251 W · 232 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Heat	27c	7,707$2,067 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,066.82	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Hawks	72c	6,913$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,912.84	127	40.9%52 W · 75 L	-15.3wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Hawks	48c	6,500$3,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,380	242	52.5%127 W · 115 L	+18.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Hawks	48c	6,500$3,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,380	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19be…2541backed Hawks	41c	6,400$2,624 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,776	97	58.8%57 W · 40 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe021…e299backed Heat	59c	6,400$3,776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,775.9	100	35%35 W · 65 L	-7.4wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Hawks	70c	6,322$4,446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,876.12	380	46.6%177 W · 203 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Heat	0c	6,125$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.25	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Hawks	42c	6,087$2,557 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,530.46	199	57.8%115 W · 84 L	+18.2wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Hawks	38c	6,016$2,287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,728.97	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Hawks	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000.01	152	47.4%72 W · 80 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Hawks	52c	6,000$3,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,880	245	49%120 W · 125 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Heat	50c	5,999$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,999.51	142	43%61 W · 81 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Heat	6c	5,890$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.3	118	39.8%47 W · 71 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Hawks	61c	5,697$3,454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,243.1	853	44%375 W · 478 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Hawks	43c	5,614$2,414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,200.01	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Heat	62c	5,555$3,444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,444.1	367	41.4%152 W · 215 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8807…1185backed Hawks	45c	5,533$2,490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,043.15	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.55per pick	45cpaid	+122.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Heat	50c	5,186$2,593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,593	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Hawks	49c	5,102$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,602.04	105	53.3%56 W · 49 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hawks	49c	5,027$2,457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,569.84	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Heat	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	142	44.4%63 W · 79 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Heat	7c	5,000$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x410a…2643backed Hawks	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,549.96	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+3.8wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Heat	61c	4,990$3,044 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,043.86	489	44.2%216 W · 273 L	-12.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Hawks	74c	4,883$3,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,283.1	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7df6…b212backed Hawks	49c	4,781$2,343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,438.32	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Hawks	46c	4,770$2,217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,552.2	539	39.5%213 W · 326 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Heat	22c	4,503$979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$978.64	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3a2…1053backed Hawks	38c	4,317$1,652 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,665.6	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hawks	48c	4,237$2,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,217.46	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Hawks	48c	4,167$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,166.67	63	57.1%36 W · 27 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Heat	27c	4,126$1,108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,108.39	57	28.1%16 W · 41 L	-5.2wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Hawks	48c	4,065$1,949 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,115.92	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…22d6backed Heat	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	98	43.9%43 W · 55 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Heat	51c	3,922$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	154	35.7%55 W · 99 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Hawks	71c	3,719$2,635 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,084.18	278	65.8%183 W · 95 L	+25.4wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Heat	37c	3,687$1,369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,368.64	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Hawks	45c	3,667$1,664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,002.93	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Heat	60c	3,550$2,130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,130	196	53.6%105 W · 91 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6337…62c5backed Heat	52c	3,500$1,820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,819.96	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Hawks	53c	3,407$1,790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,616.91	489	56.4%276 W · 213 L	+31.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77ad…ba8abacked Heat	54c	3,383$1,827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,826.92	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Heat	16c	3,274$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.31	196	52.6%103 W · 93 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Hawks	48c	3,125$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,625	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Hawks	48c	3,125$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,625	135	34.1%46 W · 89 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks	47c	3,113$1,451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,661.95	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Heat	52c	3,000$1,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,560	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed Heat	64c	3,000$1,908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,907.99	141	52.5%74 W · 67 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks	50c	2,979$1,489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,489.43	1,316	50.5%664 W · 652 L	+42.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6131…0550backed Heat	51c	2,909$1,483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,483.42	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.24per pick	40cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Heat	55c	2,902$1,599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,599.46	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Heat	51c	2,885$1,478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,478.27	381	48.6%185 W · 196 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Heat	62c	2,822$1,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,749.64	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Hawks	48c	2,800$1,344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,456	203	55.2%112 W · 91 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Hawks	47c	2,770$1,305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,464.88	262	47.7%125 W · 137 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Hawks	48c	2,748$1,319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,428.92	99	52.5%52 W · 47 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Hawks	47c	2,700$1,269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,430.96	185	53%98 W · 87 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Hawks vs. Heatthis page
Andrew Wiggins: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 15.5No won
Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
CJ McCollum: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Hawks vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHawks won
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Over won
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 236.5Over won
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 237.5Over won
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 238.5Over won
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 239.5Over won
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 240.5Over won
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 241.5Over won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Norman Powell: Points O/U 23.5No won
Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Spread: Heat (-1.5)Hawks won
Spread: Heat (-3.5)Hawks won
Spread: Heat (-4.5)Hawks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Hawks vs. Heat

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event