NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbb244c21078c4e72f82fc1303d03d753f46c06f48544315e019338b13e4182d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 13,151$6,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,765.69 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Under | 49c | 13,003$6,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,418.47 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 55c | 8,221$4,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550.7 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 3,303$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.4 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Under | 5c | 2,451$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.57 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 50c | 2,222$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.7 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 27c | 1,834$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.76 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 44c | 1,201$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 51c | 1,031$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.19 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Over | 51c | 739.22$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.22 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 73c | 696.74$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.87 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Over | 53c | 567.92$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.92 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 41c | 554.15$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.49 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…9b8cbacked Under | 73c | 526.37$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.77 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 46c | 502.85$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.57 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 58c | 414$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.12 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 30c | 355.22$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.65 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 341.02$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.68 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 42c | 340$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.2 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 49c | 310$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.1 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 44c | 305.28$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.85 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 50c | 249.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 50c | 214.88$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.44 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30af…c754backed Under | 78c | 199.46$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.8wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 49c | 195.85$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.01 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 32c | 191.58$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.43 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 74c | 159.69$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.21 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 151.68$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01bd…8357backed Under | 48c | 129.68$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -7.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 47c | 128.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 32c | 120$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 59c | 108.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb82…c668backed Over | 51c | 97.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Under | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 30c | 88.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d15…2d65backed Under | 61c | 80.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Over | 51c | 66.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53aa…07fcbacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 42c | 47.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 61c | 46.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over | 52c | 45.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Under | 66c | 44.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 54c | 41.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1caf…f649backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Under | 50c | 37.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 51c | 32.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 67c | 32.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9831…9578backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebfe…bdd0backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under | 52c | 28.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Over | 37c | 27.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Over | 42c | 27.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…6575backed Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 69c | 24.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 55c | 24.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…bfebbacked Over | 48c | 24.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 45c | 24.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…ef51backed Over | 48c | 22.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 57c | 20.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 60c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 57c | 17.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Under | 63c | 16.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 239.5this page
- Andrew Wiggins: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- CJ McCollum: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Hawks vs. HeatHawks won
- Hawks vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 236.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 237.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 238.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 240.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 241.5Over won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Heat (-1.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Heat (-3.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.