NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06e2e8bdaab8e7ccf4564dc528f0ac4aff626d51bd2d1a719cdd0f8de2070dab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,079.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Under | 51c | 7,841$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Under | 52c | 5,618$2,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,916 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 5,607$2,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,868.41 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Over | 48c | 3,854$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 1,153$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.43 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 2c | 1,010$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 48c | 892$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.88 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Under | 48c | 634.76$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.14 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 50c | 526.54$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.27 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 519.44$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.25 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 43c | 339.08$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.96 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked Over | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 48c | 284.34$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.69 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 51c | 239.65$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.43 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 30c | 237.91$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.54 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 51c | 226.25$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.1 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…78edbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…bfd7backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Over | 43c | 187.74$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2997…6c34backed Over | 55c | 178.54$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.34 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Over | 47c | 168.33$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.37 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 36c | 122.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Under | 16c | 108$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Over | 49c | 86.29$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 50c | 85.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 49c | 78.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 26c | 61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 45c | 59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…f63dbacked Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe113…375dbacked Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309a…f474backed Over | 53c | 41.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Over | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Over | 48c | 37.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d4…d0eabacked Over | 50c | 35.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…122ebacked Under | 54c | 34.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 41cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…223dbacked Under | 51c | 33.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c6…234cbacked Under | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 30.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76e7…1872backed Under | 59c | 29.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43af…da96backed Under | 57c | 28.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8694…441cbacked Under | 52c | 22.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 58c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked Over | 74c | 18.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 236.5this page
- Andrew Wiggins: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- CJ McCollum: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Hawks vs. HeatHawks won
- Hawks vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 237.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 238.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 239.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 240.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 241.5Over won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Heat (-1.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Heat (-3.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.