TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 237.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,026
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,654

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,026 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Under52c80,000$41,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,60040446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over48c76,533$36,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,7971,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Under2c5,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c4,053$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.694,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over53c2,872$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.942,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Under52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012051.7%62 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c1,830$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.59,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under50c1,105$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.441,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c941.22$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.133,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over48c892.08$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.882,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Over48c892.08$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.8815349%75 W · 78 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under52c850$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44261740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Under14c776.85$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7613850%69 W · 69 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Under54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004934.7%17 W · 32 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over50c463.7$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.851,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under42c456.75$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.3618235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under52c445.63$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.733,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c431.38$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.324,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f72…0841backed Under50c402.9$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.4510255.9%57 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c392.91$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.948,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1246…c10fbacked Under44c349.38$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f61…b4f7backed Over57c344.21$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ccc…585fbacked Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505141.2%21 W · 30 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over51c270.54$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.881,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over48c240$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.845146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over46c230.81$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.66,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over56c218.58$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.543,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over35c215.21$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.863,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3314652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over55c206.6$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.971,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017349.1%85 W · 88 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10032346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x021a…b2d7backed Under52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-36%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under45c100.32$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1495047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Over74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2611650.9%59 W · 57 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe438…d8adbacked Over74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264163.4%26 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe56a…9ef1backed Under54c88.89$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484963.3%31 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Over54c86.16$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4831155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4046346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over49c76.53$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0392750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under51c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.749351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c65.56$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.472,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Under53c64$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6141048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74a6…3cd9backed Under52c60.2$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.53458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Under51c59.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2523047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c48…7d6fbacked Under55c58.18$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…0d3bbacked Under54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302653.8%14 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0217650%88 W · 88 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb664…5ca7backed Under54c45.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.64656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b14…74bcbacked Under55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Over74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.423249.6%115 W · 117 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2056547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4422…4284backed Under54c38.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.73060%18 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92dc…ae66backed Under55c38.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1da6…53edbacked Under53c37.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205056%28 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under43c37.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1880744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1466…3bfbbacked Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019649%96 W · 100 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa8d…32ddbacked Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202763%17 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f3…39ccbacked Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202060%12 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c9a…f491backed Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd0e2…0f6bbacked Under53c34.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d8…48b7backed Under54c31.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175451.9%28 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…36f3backed Over49c30.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.351428.6%4 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.29per pick58cpaid-51.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x58c7…b84abacked Over56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.25757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x181c…7671backed Under54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.21968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xebfe…bdd0backed Over56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.24264.3%27 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x05ee…6555backed Under54c29.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-40.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Over46c29.2$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7750841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522655.3%125 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e3…7b48backed Over54c27.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.541478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick58cpaid+37.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb253…6575backed Under73c27.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.993275%24 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+23.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Over56c26.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7835049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2c…0e63backed Under54c25.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.81656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.541556.9%236 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over52c24.27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.651,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Under52c23.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3357657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…fb23backed Under53c23.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.54057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x571c…0bb5backed Under54c22.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.37058.6%41 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fe8…e59ebacked Under54c22.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.22944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8694…441cbacked Under54c22.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.91741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b5b…6e14backed Over60c20.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.325853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x640d…3168backed Under54c20.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.23452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b58…c920backed Over56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.84856.3%27 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aaa…e19fbacked Over57c19.74$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.564100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+44%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb74b…ac2fbacked Under54c19.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…91c0backed Under54c19.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.54562.2%28 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x11a3…8593backed Under54c19.07$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.32842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xccb7…cdccbacked Under54c18.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.12955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Under67c15.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1918957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.