TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Fennel vs Riddle (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 1

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fennelof Fennel, Riddle
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,234
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,230

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,234 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8adc…c3e3backed Riddle46c6,035$2,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,776.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4641…672bbacked Riddle46c6,032$2,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,774.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbaa…9bcbbacked Riddle46c5,775$2,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,656.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea42…86d3backed Riddle46c5,583$2,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,568.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde44…f67abacked Fennel54c4,578$2,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,105.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d0f…e601backed Fennel54c4,548$2,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,092.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47c…0bd0backed Fennel54c4,424$2,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,035.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ada…985fbacked Fennel54c4,334$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,993.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…04f6backed Fennel54c3,155$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f24…68c2backed Fennel54c2,383$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Fennel52c1,236$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.7532141.7%134 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Riddle49c1,089$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.7570251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…4e34backed Riddle50c1,077$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.5850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Fennel53c999.97$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.9933348.3%161 W · 172 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc91…ca4bbacked Riddle35c740.83$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x123b…5398backed Fennel50c684$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick39cpaid+208%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Riddle45c681.45$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.6578162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6b7…fe5cbacked Riddle46c665$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Riddle50c660.96$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3335251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73dd…d555backed Riddle50c583$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Riddle46c511.45$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.274641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe741…5054backed Fennel54c490$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.44100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+89.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdeba…9ff9backed Riddle47c431$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.5780%0 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fennel70c414.43$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.81,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bfb…cd1cbacked Fennel50c409$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.74100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+56.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa072…9c31backed Fennel50c393$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed Riddle47c377.77$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.186852.9%36 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Riddle47c377.54$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.9534847.4%165 W · 183 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x466e…5482backed Riddle51c353$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad41…b1c0backed Fennel54c334$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.643100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+105.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fennel47c325.99$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.7861035.9%219 W · 391 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Fennel51c315$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.5315942.1%67 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Fennel54c312.1$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.3214653.4%78 W · 68 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x819c…15b6backed Riddle46c276$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.9630%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed Riddle47c261.7$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12310242.2%43 W · 59 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Riddle25c220.27$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.011,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed Fennel54c218.52$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5234253.2%182 W · 160 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d91…c930backed Fennel54c215.08$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9421257.1%121 W · 91 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Fennel52c199.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9617349.7%86 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe01f…ab4abacked Fennel51c196.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2525444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e9c…ca4fbacked Riddle46c193.85$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd507…a6ddbacked Riddle46c193$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.783537.1%13 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dae…556dbacked Riddle51c192$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcd7…0a94backed Fennel49c186$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.86333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-32%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9214…a368backed Riddle51c182$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.82450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Fennel54c180$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.836648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b49…8789backed Fennel49c180$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa0b…4262backed Fennel54c174$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Fennel54c173.98$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.53243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b44…6219backed Fennel50c173$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb91d…1635backed Riddle51c169$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f32…b46cbacked Fennel49c166$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick28cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f8…3b44backed Riddle51c165$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8143…760dbacked Fennel49c159$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick22cpaid+634.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Fennel55c147.22$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.426250%31 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3f0…7a16backed Fennel54c135$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+173.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Riddle47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2ec…3998backed Fennel49c105$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.55450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+117.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd991…0133backed Riddle48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011559.1%68 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Riddle23c99.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9434739.8%138 W · 209 L-13.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82cf…3d55backed Fennel29c98.75$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.54052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…3fd9backed Fennel54c92.08$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.082661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Riddle47c91.11$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1163652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Riddle48c90$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.26734.3%23 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8452…018abacked Fennel49c87$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+43.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…9ff3backed Riddle62c80.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3fe…3f90backed Riddle62c80.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-61.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0caa…b2bdbacked Fennel50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4014959.7%89 W · 60 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed Fennel51c79.78$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0928247.5%134 W · 148 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd054…dcb0backed Fennel49c78$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a04…c352backed Fennel49c77$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.27580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+65.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Fennel74c67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.583464.7%22 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c6d…8cc4backed Fennel56c62.45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.451376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Fennel52c61.21$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3927546.2%127 W · 148 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Fennel75c54.65$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.682853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Riddle47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.521641.7%90 W · 126 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Riddle52c45.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9827847.1%131 W · 147 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccfa…6be3backed Fennel55c45.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.472035%7 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xca1d…9782backed Riddle48c43.75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214040%16 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9810…b0debacked Riddle47c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.741747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd36c…d7a2backed Fennel52c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fc0…8f18backed Fennel51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.735834.5%20 W · 38 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x34c5…db89backed Fennel50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2015952.8%84 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked Fennel50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2018651.1%95 W · 91 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Fennel54c36.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7362856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Riddle46c36.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.669053.3%48 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc539…ca4ebacked Fennel55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.210100%10 W · 0 L+3.6wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Fennel79c31.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6512261.5%75 W · 47 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2409…215ebacked Fennel50c29.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.882650%13 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe16e…7006backed Fennel54c29.63$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.632955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Fennel66c23.58$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0221951.6%113 W · 106 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8058…4cc3backed Fennel55c21.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.828552.9%45 W · 40 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2f1…18eebacked Fennel55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick64cpaid+38.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Fennel74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.234571%245 W · 100 L-1.5wins0.00per pick71cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf20…5be2backed Fennel55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick62cpaid+45.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb81…527ebacked Fennel55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Fennel62c16.59$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.344660.9%28 W · 18 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.