TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Motiv Esports vs 555 (BO5) - VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Motiv Esportsof Motiv Esports, 555
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,454
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,375

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,454 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b37…1f70backed Motiv Esports65c6,323$4,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,217.0211159.5%66 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked Motiv Esports59c3,214$1,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.2910863%68 W · 40 L+15.4wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Motiv Esports61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17078162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed 55539c2,573$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.773447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb877…a13fbacked 5555c1,940$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0724732%79 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed 55535c1,650$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.57342.5%31 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked 55539c1,606$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.1815850%79 W · 79 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 55568c1,354$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.821,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf665…b45ebacked Motiv Esports71c1,261$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked 55535c1,143$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ff2…01b9backed 55535c765.71$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-51.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked 55535c714.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25029733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7add…7a7bbacked 55535c603$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.05520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked 55535c600$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21086747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Motiv Esports47c529.3$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.7411854.2%64 W · 54 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked 55537c499.98$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.992213.6%3 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.21per pick34cpaid-63.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed 55538c441$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.5815942.1%67 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked 5556c400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242416.7%4 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Motiv Esports38c399.56$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.264641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked 55535c386.07$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.1361035.9%219 W · 391 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Motiv Esports38c384.24$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.836138.5%139 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked 55551c262.1$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.6719157.1%109 W · 82 L+23.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1408…7e5ebacked Motiv Esports36c211.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed 55571c199.59$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8329151.5%150 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Motiv Esports61c190$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.134847.4%165 W · 183 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c77…6747backed 55521c177.76$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.442630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked 55549c165.17$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5840254.7%220 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed 55571c155.42$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.62853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed 55535c155$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.255728.1%16 W · 41 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-29%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x433b…8228backed 55537c149$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Motiv Esports52c140.24$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.887749.4%38 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abd…6865backed 55538c138$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe07e…271cbacked 55537c138$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2beb…c936backed 55564c137$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Motiv Esports73c136.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.46672.7%48 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Motiv Esports63c130$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.133753.1%179 W · 158 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddde…7314backed 55537c130$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed 55557c129.82$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7434253.2%182 W · 160 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9764…4a55backed 55537c125$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 55545c124.5$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0388844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82cf…3d55backed 55549c124.2$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.694052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed 55544c121.85$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.616437.5%24 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb75e…8657backed 55537c119$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x023d…23acbacked Motiv Esports42c118.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.141163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf777…44c7backed 55538c111$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Motiv Esports62c107.81$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0427546.2%127 W · 148 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed 55571c105.91$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.924660.9%28 W · 18 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked 55572c105$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.093464.7%22 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked 55537c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3714037.9%53 W · 87 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3685…6d99backed Motiv Esports44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Motiv Esports63c84.61$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.716250%31 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a0c…3ccebacked 55544c84.24$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.787352.1%38 W · 35 L+7.8wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+28.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x081f…d5c0backed 55560c83.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.951866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2df…2368backed Motiv Esports39c82.43$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.432065%13 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x34c5…db89backed 55539c80$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.815952.8%84 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Motiv Esports63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3719655.6%109 W · 87 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcac1…1b0fbacked 55563c74$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+88.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Motiv Esports34c72.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.591,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Motiv Esports61c70$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.310749.5%53 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed 55550c68$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3414454.2%78 W · 66 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4458…d13bbacked 55538c66.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.27450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked 55566c61.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.981050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c78…5a0fbacked Motiv Esports63c61$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2409…215ebacked 55557c60.95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352650%13 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Motiv Esports63c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.25162.7%32 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked 55557c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.26053.3%32 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1193…d9c4backed 55537c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.21330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…aa32backed Motiv Esports63c57$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd74…4a03backed Motiv Esports63c57$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f2…08ffbacked Motiv Esports63c55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked 55537c53.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.913964.1%25 W · 14 L+6.4wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+36%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe24f…d68abacked 55538c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+39.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b7f…a20dbacked Motiv Esports63c52$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc542…02ccbacked Motiv Esports63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fc0…8f18backed 55538c49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.625834.5%20 W · 38 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd991…0133backed Motiv Esports63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6211559.1%68 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4536…c33fbacked Motiv Esports63c47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Motiv Esports36c46$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5534739.8%138 W · 209 L-13.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4238…fa79backed Motiv Esports62c43.55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.55450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf017…3bc2backed Motiv Esports63c43$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b1…842ebacked Motiv Esports63c41$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf78a…a538backed Motiv Esports63c41$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d91…c930backed Motiv Esports63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.921257.1%121 W · 91 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd36c…d7a2backed 55537c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked 55535c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147142.3%30 W · 41 L-8.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Motiv Esports52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.225245.2%114 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed 55548c39.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.191,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccfa…6be3backed Motiv Esports63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.682035%7 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x247e…ec89backed 55538c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed 55567c38.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.748050%40 W · 40 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6992…bba8backed Motiv Esports63c38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1c…e9bfbacked 55557c35.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6cd…221cbacked Motiv Esports63c35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9810…b0debacked 55535c34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.91747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcda8…e2ffbacked Motiv Esports63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.752653.8%14 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe16e…7006backed 55538c31.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b2d…37abbacked Motiv Esports63c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Motiv Esports49c30.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.62846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f69…d73ebacked Motiv Esports63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed 55540c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211446.5%53 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.