Champions League · resolved market
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ff9a6e3b6b45fc2558003762b9f94f5c13b4d1d00bdd43045f066408daae66c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 2,976$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.95 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 71c | 1,419$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.12 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 18c | 766$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.54 | 591 | 36.5%216 W · 375 L | -30.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 21c | 670.05$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 74c | 668.45$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.43 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 8c | 621.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 70c | 498.87$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.54 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…db3dbacked Yes | 24c | 399.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +241.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab7…756bbacked Yes | 25c | 389.2$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 29c | 359.36$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.54 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…0f72backed Yes | 30c | 351$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.3 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2054…d6f5backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 13c | 209$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 242 | 45.9%111 W · 131 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1f…5fc4backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 70c | 190$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…806ebacked Yes | 31c | 178$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 16c | 162.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 142 | 20.4%29 W · 113 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f4…1837backed Yes | 31c | 160.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd096…2f6fbacked Yes | 31c | 159.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 67c | 155.59$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 31c | 145.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 70c | 140.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 17c | 120.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 71c | 114$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Yes | 29c | 114$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…c18cbacked Yes | 31c | 110$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 28c | 108.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…b53cbacked Yes | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +264.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed No | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1468…2ca9backed Yes | 26c | 99.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7f…0492backed Yes | 22c | 95.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0117…1a04backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 30c | 64.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 70c | 62.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 68c | 62.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Yes | 27c | 62.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Yes | 33c | 61.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 69c | 56.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 631 | 50.2%317 W · 314 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Yes | 24c | 56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccee…3eedbacked Yes | 29c | 51.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 70c | 51.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef4…e2e9backed Yes | 29c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…3422backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 48cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 69c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 69c | 40.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 313 | 42.5%133 W · 180 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…1428backed Yes | 30c | 33.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed No | 69c | 22.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Draw at halftime?this page
- FC Bayern München leading at halftime?No won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.