TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$432,940
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$435,534

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $432,940 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over1c113,565$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.968,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under66c104,717$68,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,933.564,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over34c42,374$14,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,285.992,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over33c14,403$4,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,765.542,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over34c13,334$4,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,486.7817544%77 W · 98 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over33c12,545$4,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,183.012,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over36c11,193$4,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,011.432,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under64c10,980$6,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,003.844,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under67c10,138$6,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,353.613,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over33c10,000$3,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,269.9923942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over28c8,967$2,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,492.684,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over33c7,177$2,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,334.192,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under66c5,115$3,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.0246550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Under66c4,646$3,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.7510518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under66c4,419$2,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.982,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over38c4,171$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.171,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1ce…a155backed Over5c3,825$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Over33c3,500$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1559126.4%24 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb10d…4ba0backed Under67c3,192$2,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.35740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x580e…38cdbacked Over33c3,030$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016739.5%66 W · 101 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under66c2,130$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.011,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over48c2,091$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.251,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Over29c2,027$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.8522846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7609…6c4ebacked Under66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.985646.4%26 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Under67c1,886$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.428943.8%39 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Under66c1,775$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.4910056%56 W · 44 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under66c1,773$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.362,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc88f…d893backed Under57c1,734$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.5710932.1%35 W · 74 L-9.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over45c1,573$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.791,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Over57c1,544$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8807560%45 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over35c1,517$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53116747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf209…dd2ebacked Over33c1,515$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003756.8%21 W · 16 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5ab…ff89backed Over33c1,506$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009334.4%32 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over47c1,471$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.551,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over47c1,301$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.061,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over46c1,255$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.8565036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Over34c1,073$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.8234751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfd6…415abacked Over44c1,045$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4602147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over47c1,042$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.6273536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c1,022$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.823,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Over35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35022436.6%82 W · 142 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6648…4798backed Over23c999.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2307748.1%37 W · 40 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under67c999.98$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.9946546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6af…f9cdbacked Over42c956.94$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002055%11 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under66c898$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.761,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2682…4997backed Over34c869$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.461921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-60.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x318d…e94cbacked Over58c857.14$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017462.1%108 W · 66 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Over15c851.61$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.0512266.4%81 W · 41 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under67c849.83$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.963,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over48c776.99$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.221,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cea…ffd2backed Over26c765.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008451.2%43 W · 41 L-8.8wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Over41c725.61$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.510328.2%29 W · 74 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Under56c662.29$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.2113860.9%84 W · 54 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a3a…99febacked Over31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over41c623.39$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.5187237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f7…167abacked Over58c606.83$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505856.9%33 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under66c604.04$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.3730950.8%157 W · 152 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Under70c600$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1805962.7%37 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x62e0…32dfbacked Over34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017345.1%78 W · 95 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under67c499.99$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16545038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34ab…840ebacked Over54c499.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a49…a53bbacked Over34c499.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17010149.5%50 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Under51c499.98$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.9915418.8%29 W · 125 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under65c499.98$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.9920638.8%80 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf2…326abacked Over54c499.97$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9911749.6%58 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Over35c481$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.3527744.8%124 W · 153 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over45c462.39$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.822,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e0d…c3fbbacked Over44c449.95$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010132.7%33 W · 68 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x81d4…bb6ebacked Over35c421.05$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1473231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over56c402.75$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.5463745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under65c390.66$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.7361752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under66c378$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.522,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under66c378$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.522,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e62…8bb7backed Over45c363.42$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.541346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x461e…5ce2backed Over56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008540%34 W · 51 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Over56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010748.6%52 W · 55 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under67c347.63$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.692,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Over22c347.23$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3922122.2%49 W · 172 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over33c343.07$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.833,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe620…03acbacked Over55c342.8$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.5417045.9%78 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5af8…db25backed Over34c341.18$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11610726.2%28 W · 79 L-12.9wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-39.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Over44c340.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15043246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23fa…140bbacked Over49c326.53$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16016750.3%84 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over34c323.53$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11016136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over33c322.96$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4978835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under38c322.71$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.952,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24a8…dcb4backed Under75c320.28$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.589556.8%54 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over30c318.33$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.982,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Over35c317.14$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11122652.7%119 W · 107 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7274…5040backed Over32c315.63$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1019551.6%49 W · 46 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x077c…98abbacked Over58c312.24$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18119553.3%104 W · 91 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d5…720fbacked Over59c305.08$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18016731.7%53 W · 114 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7828…e558backed Over34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b6…886ebacked Over34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010749.5%53 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1425…6e0cbacked Over34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007429.7%22 W · 52 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-42.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd08…4cabbacked Over34c289.56$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.45560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+75.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e18…f3b1backed Over34c284.12$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984339.5%17 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71ca…6f63backed Over56c270.13$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-50.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe702…1519backed Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.