TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$889,359
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,016,819

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $889,359 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under13c201,076$27,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,040.32,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under13c155,705$20,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,267.664,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under14c30,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.9813234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under15c20,777$3,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,115.093,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under13c16,421$2,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,088.474,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under13c15,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95017842.7%76 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc008…6adfbacked Under14c14,300$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under12c11,585$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.161,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under13c11,119$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.573,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under13c11,110$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.331851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under12c8,012$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.8971638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under12c6,516$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.974447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed Under13c6,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.9910653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under12c5,631$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.472,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under13c5,120$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.11,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Under13c5,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6506114.8%9 W · 52 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-46.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under12c4,400$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9336031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…8f58backed Under12c4,315$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.81650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Under13c3,846$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020053%106 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e1…f420backed Under13c3,843$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.5613837.7%52 W · 86 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under6c3,488$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19258942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under13c3,175$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.752,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under13c2,872$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.961,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under13c2,553$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.391,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc11…4b4abacked Under2c2,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609910.1%10 W · 89 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick3cpaid+194.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under14c2,407$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.9444130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Under17c2,407$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40022441.5%93 W · 131 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under13c2,359$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.31,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe538…c28bbacked Under14c2,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27012224.6%30 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28030626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26025857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under13c1,923$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.991,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under13c1,920$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.688852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under14c1,886$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9926534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Under13c1,758$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.5613736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Under16c1,733$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.111,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under12c1,645$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.6768141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x004c…ab0cbacked Under15c1,576$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23511170.3%78 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick69cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under13c1,556$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.081,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x434a…1578backed Under13c1,550$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.513035.4%46 W · 84 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Under13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004454.5%24 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under10c1,313$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.382537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under3c1,308$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5371939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed Under14c1,043$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507025.7%18 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Under12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12030345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under12c1,000$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4397742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked Under3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011412.3%14 W · 100 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick3cpaid+348.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under15c984.84$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.4435719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under14c892.48$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.951,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under11c890.74$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.792,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed Under11c887.41$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6221450.5%108 W · 106 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under13c845.89$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.353,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015846.2%73 W · 85 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Under12c799.96$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9924045.4%109 W · 131 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under13c749.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under13c650.82$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.411,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under15c640$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.429450%147 W · 147 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x778c…061abacked Under13c600$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788243.9%36 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc93…718bbacked Under3c599.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18458.9%4 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick2cpaid+214.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under14c584.11$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.541,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8320…e302backed Under13c549.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.930137.2%112 W · 189 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Under12c513.74$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.659957.6%57 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Under14c508.4$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.186930.4%21 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Under12c499.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6028945.3%131 W · 158 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8202…f6a5backed Under15c467.6$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.143839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under12c414.97$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.284844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Under13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015418.8%29 W · 125 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaffc…cddcbacked Under13c339.59$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.156937.7%26 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x093c…2de4backed Under15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Under12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366958%40 W · 29 L+6.6wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x655a…8fadbacked Under13c238.85$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0510715%16 W · 91 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f0c…ba73backed Under13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010224.5%25 W · 77 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under13c229.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.932837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under12c220$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.691,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Under15c192.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8143139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Under14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2543246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ff9…ca43backed Under13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+40.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ce…7b7cbacked Under13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205667.9%38 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under12c144.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.943653.7%234 W · 202 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5088…cfc5backed Under13c138.46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1815440.3%62 W · 92 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa2c…0fcdbacked Under13c131.46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.094316.3%7 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0459…0fcbbacked Under14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1526720.6%55 W · 212 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9287…0098backed Under12c107$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8423540.9%96 W · 139 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7c3…20e0backed Under13c106.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.897823.1%18 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd4a…bd1abacked Under13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133020%6 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under13c78.53$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2163255.7%352 W · 280 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9ae…475dbacked Under15c76.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.