TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,994
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,099

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,994 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over41c6,011$2,476 inWon+$3,535.282,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under59c3,357$1,994 inLost-$1,994.494,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under59c1,303$769 inLost-$768.6286452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under59c1,000$589 inLost-$588.8830950.8%157 W · 152 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c602.62$352 inLost-$352.174,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over40c600$240 inWon+$359.587639.5%30 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Under60c500$300 inLost-$30019545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under60c500$300 inLost-$30045038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under59c386.57$227 inLost-$227.32,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under59c268.99$159 inLost-$158.853,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bb…9943backed Over39c256.41$100 inWon+$156.411225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under59c252$149 inLost-$148.6876551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Under60c243.75$146 inLost-$146.2532044.1%141 W · 179 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Over42c238.1$100 inWon+$138.123544.7%105 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over35c228$80 inWon+$148.21,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under60c208$125 inLost-$124.82,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f8b…4ca3backed Over40c198.26$80 inWon+$118.2610844.4%48 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over41c149.46$61 inWon+$88.621,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under60c104$62 inLost-$62.43,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under59c103.74$61 inLost-$60.7166056.8%375 W · 285 L+34.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over41c85.37$35 inWon+$50.3729338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over41c61.57$26 inWon+$36.058,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f63…ca1abacked Over40c58.05$23 inWon+$34.83475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+69.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8278…ad93backed Over38c50$19 inWon+$3126344.5%117 W · 146 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ef3…dbcdbacked Over41c48.78$20 inWon+$28.783231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x492a…46aebacked Under57c37.21$21 inLost-$21.212157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under60c33$20 inLost-$19.825948.6%126 W · 133 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed Under58c32.76$19 inLost-$196159%36 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.