TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$461,801
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$499,603

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $461,801 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x547f…2937backed Under73c132,141$96,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,303.372774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under75c63,149$47,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,808.244,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over23c25,053$5,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,852.773,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over15c16,095$2,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,420.92,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over29c16,069$4,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,609.593,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under66c15,194$9,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,230.662,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Over42c15,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,30024058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over16c10,405$1,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.214,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over43c10,254$4,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,394.7128229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a19…1581backed Over0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102650%13 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over1c10,000$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.224533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over16c7,565$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.1951514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under73c7,034$5,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.9437650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over22c6,818$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over45c6,667$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00016947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over25c5,371$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Over7c4,313$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.99525.3%24 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over24c4,167$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under79c4,160$3,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.52,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over20c3,939$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9941331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over20c3,751$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.164,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd63d…75a1backed Over13c3,700$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over45c3,494$1,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,578.0321722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under78c3,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over28c2,780$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.436234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95f7…5541backed Under77c2,727$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.2710544.8%47 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under77c2,475$1,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.2570244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fcd…2816backed Over6c2,194$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14011227.7%31 W · 81 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f0f…1366backed Over24c2,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013043.8%57 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over40c2,045$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.538,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Over22c1,705$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3756930.4%21 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked Over6c1,631$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.589323.7%22 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over19c1,494$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.8827032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over5c1,445$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.862,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over8c1,374$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0259453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under77c1,346$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3042,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Over39c1,260$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.5210537.1%39 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over40c1,236$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007639.5%30 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over43c1,219$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.962958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Under77c1,198$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.2815040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed Over9c1,158$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3517223.3%40 W · 132 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Over25c1,156$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.2513542.2%57 W · 78 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Over36c1,100$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9915054%81 W · 69 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over43c1,055$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.6225339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over24c1,034$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2456836.8%25 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb5…0499backed Over42c950$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3992352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b91…8e2abacked Over43c898.14$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3831926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8623353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9124…f819backed Over34c888.89$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006947.8%33 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over22c691.54$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.243,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over4c667.11$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6837242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Over39c661.54$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25822436.6%82 W · 142 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Over23c652.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15036024.4%88 W · 272 L-0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ef2…a060backed Under79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9110568.6%72 W · 33 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Over5c594.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7334122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…6a32backed Over17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001850%9 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+114.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked Over8c555.55$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456842.6%29 W · 39 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over19c534.63$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.182,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Over6c531.83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9117827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3c6…4366backed Over38c526.76$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006637.9%25 W · 41 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under77c521.56$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.722,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc499…f793backed Under77c519.48$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.487843.6%34 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under60c510.5$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.119649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11021957.5%126 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13521166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f16…780cbacked Over10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50407.5%3 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd790…2c61backed Over35c454.29$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1592326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over6c428.11$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4134731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Over13c406$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1224947.4%118 W · 131 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked Under74c405.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.718356.6%47 W · 36 L-0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x372e…4453backed Over21c400$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8514829.1%43 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x957e…3621backed Over38c397.4$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022147.1%104 W · 117 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49c2…13d2backed Under77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.615450%27 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1907…85b9backed Over45c388.82$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.979239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Over40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020447.5%97 W · 107 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over35c346.49$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12019329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Over20c344.41$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8653436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over29c324.69$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.573536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under79c320$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0271939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over17c319.65$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.911,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over22c313.53$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.63,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b57…84ebbacked Over23c304.35$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010146.5%47 W · 54 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13ca…1e53backed Over33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011330.1%34 W · 79 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x285a…3326backed Under77c301.56$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.367852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over18c299.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5427028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Over22c290.36$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8856541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over35c283.04$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.71,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over20c282.72$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.482,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under69c267.21$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1844130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe497…927fbacked Over22c265.18$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.347222.2%16 W · 56 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Under77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.744372.1%31 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae2b…daa8backed Under77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7413157.3%75 W · 56 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e8e…9665backed Under78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4128444.4%126 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over10c254.28$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.821,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under77c244.83$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3125857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under58c238.77$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5972247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.