TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$688,041
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$746,483

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $688,041 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f12…8140backed Over15c64,054$9,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,7204025%10 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over17c50,281$8,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,461.821,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over17c19,620$3,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,388.591,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over8c17,387$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.1851514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over15c15,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.9759230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over19c9,474$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80028025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4773…2289backed Under76c8,641$6,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,073.941376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c73…6ee3backed Over12c8,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004250%21 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ad4…3c1abacked Over15c8,200$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230230%0 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over17c6,793$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.241,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over18c6,311$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.9674752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over18c5,575$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.74,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over15c5,333$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9419037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over17c4,715$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.381,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over2c4,474$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.61626.5%4 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over15c3,903$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbadb…3e33backed Over16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Over14c3,119$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.6833538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over15c3,026$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.698,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Over15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.997034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under77c2,990$2,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.4819946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over15c2,667$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over19c2,558$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.391,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8046…6ea0backed Over16c2,357$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.138723%20 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over15c2,229$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.232,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Over15c2,150$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over14c2,143$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over15c2,020$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.537223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fb9…8429backed Over26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006241.9%26 W · 36 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over15c1,916$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.262,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over14c1,733$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.952,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Over6c1,717$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8433740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over2c1,625$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.632,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over21c1,544$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.7616150.9%82 W · 79 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over15c1,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22517625%44 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x76d2…99a6backed Over7c1,482$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007226.4%19 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over11c1,364$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011035.5%39 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Over20c1,300$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25515054%81 W · 69 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over20c1,112$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.459453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf748…c387backed Over10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004112.2%5 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd437…ba37backed Over15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507431.1%23 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e4…ca09backed Over10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf418…ab79backed Over10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9410…a121backed Over17c980$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.6714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-66.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over10c950.65$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5675335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over25c949.49$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.6958942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over16c930.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Over16c826.72$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.287042.9%30 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a38…ab6dbacked Under75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001877.8%14 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over5c786.22$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.632,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under79c750$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.2573536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Under78c750$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16518642.5%79 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under79c728.66$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.741,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7803…132fbacked Over17c722.65$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.422135.3%78 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over11c707.36$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8114612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under78c699.99$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.61,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Over15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031728.1%89 W · 228 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over23c647.37$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0738745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Over24c625$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15042126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over16c606.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over16c600.25$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0422919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3670…18e8backed Over6c600$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366113.1%8 W · 53 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-60.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Under77c600$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13811156.8%63 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over26c576.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15069744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91d8…9e8dbacked Over5c569.39$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2750146.1%231 W · 270 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over15c555.21$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.751,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa8d…22d7backed Under75c533.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.336141%25 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under78c514.78$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.31,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over22c507.2$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.583,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Under78c500$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.565036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Over21c470.18$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7411637.1%43 W · 73 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under78c459.15$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.421,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over16c446.32$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3895037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72e0…08eebacked Over17c433.76$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7426243.1%113 W · 149 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over15c426.67$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6425737%95 W · 162 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over15c416.16$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3997742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over24c413.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011122.5%25 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf083…22b0backed Over15c400$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596527.7%18 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd6d…96ddbacked Over25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002010%2 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-79.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Over11c393.8$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8931232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under76c389$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.8787237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfd1…cef5backed Over13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503737.8%14 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Under79c373.42$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.426066.7%40 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Over15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4519442.3%82 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x653d…b3a7backed Under76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe497…927fbacked Over11c290.91$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327222.2%16 W · 56 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f1f…6206backed Over18c290$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.23531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b99…8f62backed Under75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6719047.4%90 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked Under78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.415666.1%37 W · 19 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf799…6255backed Under79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.164273.8%31 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf11c…fa02backed Under80c250.63$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.633574.3%26 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff14…c6cabacked Over16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407138%27 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f04…7fb9backed Under75c250$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.51968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over14c249.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3516535.2%58 W · 107 L+15.3wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over16c243.75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3952217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under79c240.14$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.042,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over15c239.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.361,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over17c230$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.81,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.