TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$176,976
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$221,661

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,976 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Over59c40,539$24,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,539.3819644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c20,958$9,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,670.254,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under41c19,445$7,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,884.413,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under43c7,633$3,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,249.433,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over58c7,510$4,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,142.682,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under42c6,512$2,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,727.352,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under43c5,760$2,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,496.911,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over34c5,613$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,708.418,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Over57c5,263$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.169929.3%29 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under46c5,133$2,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,377.234,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under42c3,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2501,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00046550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under42c2,035$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.8729232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Over56c1,771$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.5832429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over53c1,747$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.974,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x897c…cb6cbacked Over57c1,739$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.323470.6%24 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Over58c1,636$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.1316746.7%78 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Under41c1,600$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6562540%10 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under10c1,441$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.312,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd794…248bbacked Over58c1,201$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.81580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+39.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Under43c1,200$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.9911243.8%49 W · 63 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c1,022$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.52,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4908530.6%26 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under40c919.4$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.761,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.4630465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over37c844.55$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.292,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed Over39c820$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.28847.7%42 W · 46 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under41c777.13$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31677152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over47c728.9$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.482,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over57c659.58$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.391,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over54c646.58$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.191,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over60c644.13$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.31,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over56c625.27$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.2716747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3504…d4f1backed Over57c561.4$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.412556.8%71 W · 54 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over57c525$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.7510841.7%45 W · 63 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under42c510.33$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.781,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over30c503$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.6959453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under44c500.97$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.4336838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under41c500.1$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.041,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20569534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f8d…edbebacked Under44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2203737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over54c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23011645.7%53 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under42c499.97$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9995739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over58c494.99$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.592,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under42c481.87$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.951,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under55c473.2$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.572,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd85…1388backed Over57c462.37$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.574341.9%18 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Over56c438.99$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.1651315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed Over58c429.31$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.3117948%86 W · 93 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over50c407.54$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.271,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc56…cbe8backed Over58c399.9$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.9612435.5%44 W · 80 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under55c373.81$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.62,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over57c359.12$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.4210562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52c1…d61fbacked Under59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007361.6%45 W · 28 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over58c321.06$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.093,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over31c302.69$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.981,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under44c299.99$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1331,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under44c299.98$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.621,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe97…6347backed Over54c296.48$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.4812958.1%75 W · 54 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under45c284$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.413,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d93…2756backed Over48c281.52$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.392835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+31.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Over45c277.89$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.8917241.3%71 W · 101 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under46c273.91$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12621029%61 W · 149 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfae6…3fe9backed Over56c262.5$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.59355.9%52 W · 41 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbda3…efddbacked Over58c260$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.24436.4%16 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+57.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6216946.7%79 W · 90 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over54c248.19$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.482,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Over58c229.99$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.645248.9%221 W · 231 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under43c223.51$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8958029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3e4…53acbacked Over45c219.98$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.994332.6%14 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x845b…5c2dbacked Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.395735.1%20 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Under45c210$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.518448.9%90 W · 94 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc23a…3e2bbacked Under69c208.7$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1446833.8%23 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfdc…0c65backed Over49c205.31$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.71955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over40c204.61$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.512,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8852455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x94e3…49b7backed Over56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889366.7%62 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4c9…e2dcbacked Under44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882025%5 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd697…def2backed Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1049348.4%45 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x372e…4453backed Over57c199.95$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.9814829.1%43 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over34c190.39$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.661,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x322e…a2cebacked Over55c182$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.97945.6%36 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over59c177.55$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.041,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8227…2432backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4417145.6%78 W · 93 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Under76c174.4$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.9417568.6%120 W · 55 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick74cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over58c172.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6128646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb36e…538fbacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4110845.4%49 W · 59 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…df38backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4114248.6%69 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0195…1e21backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4144144%194 W · 247 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dfe…3a5dbacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4116943.2%73 W · 96 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Over39c166$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2622560.4%136 W · 89 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfca…5a0dbacked Over59c164.63$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.62846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ee3…a899backed Over39c154.1$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.14235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over58c152.6$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.633,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b2…809cbacked Over56c142.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8620540%82 W · 123 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under43c139.83$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.131,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under43c131.94$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.121,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under52c128.64$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.351,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.